SEA at SF—

ST Model SEA -1.1

Trends · player props · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SEA — the basics

436 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-113	48%	+0.6	18/219	n=219
vs SF	29-21	58%	+3.7	5/50	n=50
in a division game	84-79	52%	+1.7	14/163	n=163
off a bye	24-28	46%	+0.8	8/52	n=52
in the Sunday late window	116-118	50%	+0.4	17/234	n=234
in November	50-49	51%	+0.1	8/99	n=99
outdoors	187-174	52%	+1.0	30/361	n=361
on grass	67-74	48%	-0.1	11/141	n=141
at this venue	9-4	69%	+3.5	3/13	n=13
under this head coach	21-16	57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	45-42	52%	+2.1	37/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SEA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +7.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 436 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=436
SEA has covered 5 straight	n=5

SEA — combinations

234 lean SEA · 37 lean against

Read this first. 299 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	9-2	82%from 48%	+8.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+8.5	11/11	n=11
off a bye + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 46%	+11.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+11.9	8/8	n=8
in November + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 51%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
vs SF + in November	8-3	73%from 58%	+3.9	1/11	n=11
+ outdoors	8-3	73%from 73%	+3.9	1/11	n=11
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 73%	+4.1	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 73%	+4.1	1/7	n=7
on the road + under this head coach	13-5	72%from 48%	+7.3	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 72%	+7.3	18/18	n=18
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 69%	+2.9	3/7	n=7
on the road + at this venue	9-4	69%from 48%	+3.5	3/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 69%	+2.9	3/7	n=7
outdoors + at this venue	9-4	69%from 52%	+3.5	3/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 69%	+2.9	3/7	n=7
on grass + at this venue	9-4	69%from 48%	+3.5	3/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 69%	+2.9	3/7	n=7
vs SF + at this venue	8-4	67%from 58%	+2.8	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.5	2/6	n=6
in a division game + at this venue	8-4	67%from 52%	+2.8	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.5	2/6	n=6
in a division game + under this head coach	9-5	64%from 52%	+5.2	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 64%	+5.2	14/14	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	106-111	49%	+0.6	79/217	n=217
vs SEA	21-29	42%	-3.7	20/50	n=50
in a division game	79-81	49%	+0.3	56/160	n=160
in the Sunday late window	106-110	49%	-0.2	78/216	n=216
in November	47-47	50%	+1.0	30/94	n=94
outdoors	174-181	49%	-0.1	130/355	n=355
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	45-55	45%	-0.3	76/100	n=100
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

37 lean SF · 288 lean against

Read this first. 361 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 50%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	43-35	55%from 49%	+0.6	78/78	n=78
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%from 51%	+0.6	96/96	n=96
outdoors + under this head coach	69-61	53%from 49%	+1.1	130/130	n=130
+ in the last 5 seasons	43-35	55%from 53%	+0.6	78/78	n=78
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 49%	+0.6	46/46	n=46
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 45%	+0.6	46/46	n=46
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	17-16	52%from 49%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 49%	+0.8	70/70	n=70
in a division game + under this head coach	28-28	50%from 49%	-0.1	56/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-16	52%from 50%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
in November + under this head coach	15-15	50%from 50%	+2.9	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 50%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
vs SEA + under this head coach	10-10	50%from 42%	-1.9	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	-1.8	12/12	n=12
vs SEA + in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 42%	-1.8	12/12	n=12
on grass + under this head coach	61-62	50%from 49%	+0.9	123/123	n=123
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 50%	+0.8	70/70	n=70
in the Sunday late window + on grass	94-96	49%from 49%	+0.3	64/190	n=190
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-19	47%from 49%	-0.6	36/36	n=36
+ under this head coach	29-35	45%from 49%	-0.5	64/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-19	47%from 45%	-0.6	36/36	n=36
+ at this venue	24-35	41%from 49%	-1.9	42/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 41%	+0.2	24/24	n=24
+ under this head coach	17-25	40%from 41%	-1.7	42/42	n=42

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.