NYJ at MIA

ST Model MIA -7.6
Trends · player props · 2026 week 12
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NYJ — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
on the road95-11645%-1.48/211n=211
vs MIA26-2353%+0.72/49n=49
in a division game73-8447%-1.46/157n=157
in the Sunday early window119-12249%+0.414/241n=241
in November42-5145%+0.24/93n=93
outdoors179-20846%-1.016/387n=387
on grass68-7647%-0.85/144n=144
at this venue14-1058%+2.61/24n=24
under this head coach7-1041%-5.717/17n=17
in the last 5 seasons33-5139%-2.817/84n=84
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NYJ — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per gamen=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straightn=5
NYJ — combinations
101 lean NYJ · 117 lean against
Read this first. 238 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
vs MIA + on grass17-1063%from 53%+2.91/27n=27
+ at this venue14-1058%from 63%+2.61/24n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 58%-4.71/5n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 63%-4.71/5n=5
on the road + vs MIA15-1060%from 45%+2.91/25n=25
+ in the Sunday early window11-761%from 60%+3.30/18n=18
+ outdoors11-761%from 61%+3.30/18n=18
+ on grass11-761%from 61%+3.30/18n=18
+ at this venue10-759%from 61%+2.90/17n=17
+ in a division game15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ in the Sunday early window11-761%from 60%+3.30/18n=18
+ outdoors15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ on grass15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ at this venue14-1058%from 60%+2.61/24n=24
+ in November2-340%from 60%+6.80/5n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 60%-4.71/5n=5
+ outdoors15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ on grass15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ at this venue14-1058%from 60%+2.61/24n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 60%-4.71/5n=5
+ on grass15-1060%from 60%+2.91/25n=25
+ at this venue14-1058%from 60%+2.61/24n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 60%-4.71/5n=5
+ at this venue14-1058%from 60%+2.61/24n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 58%-4.71/5n=5
+ in November2-340%from 60%+6.80/5n=5
+ outdoors2-340%from 40%+6.80/5n=5
+ on grass2-340%from 40%+6.80/5n=5
+ at this venue2-340%from 40%+6.80/5n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 60%-4.71/5n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.