How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NE — the basics
455 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 127-93 | 58% | +3.3 | 9/220 | n=220 |
| vs LAC | 11-6 | 65% | +2.3 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| off a bye | 36-31 | 54% | +3.0 | 3/67 | n=67 |
| on Sunday night | 34-26 | 57% | +2.8 | 4/60 | n=60 |
| in November | 52-43 | 55% | +3.4 | 4/95 | n=95 |
| indoors | 25-22 | 53% | +2.7 | 1/47 | n=47 |
| on turf | 154-110 | 58% | +3.9 | 15/264 | n=264 |
| under this head coach | 14-7 | 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-44 | 49% | +1.3 | 21/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NE — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game | n=455 |
| NE has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
NE — combinations
45 lean NE · 8 lean against
Read this first. 68 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + under this head coach | 7-2 | 78%from 58% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| on the road + vs LAC | 5-2 | 71%from 58% | +6.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| on Sunday night + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 57% | +3.6 | 4/7 | n=7 |
| vs LAC + on turf | 7-3 | 70%from 65% | +6.8 | 1/10 | n=10 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| on Sunday night + in November | 12-6 | 67%from 57% | +5.1 | 0/18 | n=18 |
| + on turf | 6-2 | 75%from 67% | +7.3 | 0/8 | n=8 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 10-5 | 67%from 58% | +6.0 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-5 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| on the road + on Sunday night | 19-10 | 66%from 58% | +4.8 | 2/29 | n=29 |
| + on turf | 11-4 | 73%from 66% | +7.9 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + in November | 6-3 | 67%from 66% | +9.7 | 0/9 | n=9 |
| + indoors | 7-4 | 64%from 66% | +3.9 | 0/11 | n=11 |
| + on turf | 5-3 | 63%from 64% | +4.8 | 0/8 | n=8 |
| on the road + off a bye | 19-11 | 63%from 58% | +5.5 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + on Sunday night | 6-1 | 86%from 63% | +11.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + indoors | 7-2 | 78%from 63% | +6.6 | 0/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 5-1 | 83%from 78% | +8.6 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + on turf | 11-4 | 73%from 63% | +8.7 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + in November | 6-3 | 67%from 63% | +9.6 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +9.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-5 | 17%from 63% | -3.6 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| on the road + on turf | 65-39 | 63%from 58% | +5.0 | 4/104 | n=104 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-9 | 57%from 63% | +0.7 | 4/21 | n=21 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.