DEN at PIT—

ST Model PIT -0.5

Since first recorded DEN -1.5o/u 39.5unchanged · 6d ago · 3 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	100-111	47%	-1.3	25/211	n=211
vs PIT	7-5	58%	+0.2	1/12	n=12
on Friday/Saturday	8-7	53%	-1.2	3/15	n=15
in November	47-50	48%	-0.2	11/97	n=97
outdoors	185-197	48%	-0.5	42/382	n=382
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

26 lean DEN · 27 lean against

Read this first. 64 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Friday/Saturday + on grass	7-3	70%from 53%	+5.0	1/10	n=10
in November + under this head coach	7-4	64%from 48%	+3.6	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+3.6	11/11	n=11
vs PIT + outdoors	7-5	58%from 58%	+0.2	1/12	n=12
+ on grass	6-5	55%from 58%	-1.1	1/11	n=11
on Friday/Saturday + outdoors	8-6	57%from 53%	+0.1	2/14	n=14
+ on grass	7-3	70%from 57%	+5.0	1/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	21-17	55%from 49%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 55%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
outdoors + under this head coach	23-19	55%from 48%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 55%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
vs PIT + on grass	6-5	55%from 58%	-1.1	1/11	n=11
in November + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 48%	+2.1	11/17	n=17
on the road + in November	28-25	53%from 47%	+0.4	6/53	n=53
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 53%	-0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	-0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 53%	+0.2	6/9	n=9
+ outdoors	21-21	50%from 53%	+0.8	4/42	n=42
+ on grass	14-15	48%from 50%	+1.0	3/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 50%	-5.2	4/6	n=6
+ on grass	15-16	48%from 53%	+0.3	4/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 48%	-6.2	4/6	n=6
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.7	42/70	n=70
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	27-26	51%from 51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	32-33	49%from 49%	+0.5	38/65	n=65

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

at home	123-100	55%	+1.7	0/223	n=223
vs DEN	5-7	42%	-0.2	0/12	n=12
on Friday/Saturday	10-6	63%	+3.2	0/16	n=16
in November	49-50	49%	+0.4	0/99	n=99
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	117-97	55%	+1.7	0/214	n=214
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

61 lean PIT · 5 lean against

Read this first. 79 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + on Friday/Saturday	7-2	78%from 55%	+5.3	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 78%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	7-2	78%from 78%	+5.3	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 78%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 78%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 78%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
on Friday/Saturday + at this venue	6-2	75%from 63%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
on Friday/Saturday + on grass	8-3	73%from 63%	+5.1	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 73%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 73%	+2.8	0/6	n=6
on Friday/Saturday + outdoors	10-5	67%from 63%	+4.4	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 67%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.1	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 73%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 73%	+2.8	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.8	0/6	n=6
at home + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 55%	+0.3	0/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 55%	+0.3	0/43	n=43
on Friday/Saturday + in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 63%	+0.1	0/7	n=7
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%from 54%	+0.3	0/63	n=63
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 49%	-1.2	0/18	n=18
at home + on grass	84-68	55%from 55%	+1.9	0/152	n=152
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-17	59%from 55%	+0.7	0/41	n=41
+ at this venue	84-68	55%from 55%	+1.9	0/152	n=152
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-17	59%from 55%	+0.7	0/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.