CAR at TB—

ST Model TB -5.6

Trends · player props · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	112-104	52%	+0.3	17/216	n=216
vs TB	27-21	56%	+1.4	4/48	n=48
in a division game	83-76	52%	-0.0	12/159	n=159
on Monday night	8-7	53%	+1.4	1/15	n=15
in November	48-50	49%	-0.7	8/98	n=98
outdoors	167-171	49%	-0.9	29/338	n=338
on grass	159-156	50%	-0.5	28/315	n=315
at this venue	13-10	57%	+1.2	2/23	n=23
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

88 lean CAR · 55 lean against

Read this first. 168 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 49%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
on Monday night + in November	5-3	63%from 53%	+2.6	1/8	n=8
+ outdoors	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.6	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.6	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.6	1/8	n=8
on the road + vs TB	14-10	58%from 52%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ in a division game	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ outdoors	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ on grass	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ at this venue	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.2	2/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-7.6	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ on grass	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ at this venue	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.2	2/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-7.6	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.6	2/24	n=24
+ at this venue	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.2	2/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-7.6	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.2	2/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 57%	-7.6	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-7.6	2/5	n=5
in a division game + under this head coach	7-5	58%from 52%	-1.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	-1.3	12/12	n=12
on Monday night + outdoors	8-6	57%from 53%	+1.8	1/14	n=14
+ on grass	8-6	57%from 57%	+1.8	1/14	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

at home	94-118	44%	-0.6	36/212	n=212
vs CAR	21-27	44%	-1.4	8/48	n=48
in a division game	74-85	47%	-0.2	24/159	n=159
on Monday night	11-15	42%	+0.1	8/26	n=26
in November	55-43	56%	+1.0	13/98	n=98
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	92-115	44%	-0.6	35/207	n=207
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

47 lean TB · 190 lean against

Read this first. 255 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + in November	4-3	57%from 42%	+1.4	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 57%	+0.9	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 57%	-1.1	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 50%	+0.9	1/5	n=5
at home + in November	26-20	57%from 44%	-0.3	5/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 57%	+2.8	5/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 57%	+1.7	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.7	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	26-20	57%from 57%	-0.3	5/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 57%	+2.8	5/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 57%	+1.7	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	25-20	56%from 57%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ at this venue	25-20	56%from 57%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ on grass	25-20	56%from 57%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	+2.9	4/5	n=5
+ at this venue	25-20	56%from 56%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ at this venue	25-20	56%from 57%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	+2.9	4/5	n=5
in November + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	-1.1	13/16	n=16
in November + on grass	39-31	56%from 56%	+0.7	7/70	n=70
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 56%	+0.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.1	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	25-20	56%from 56%	-0.4	4/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	+2.9	4/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 56%	-1.2	7/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.