BAL at HOU—

ST Model HOU -3.7

Trends · player props · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-102	54%	+1.7	0/224	n=224
vs HOU	10-6	63%	+4.1	0/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in November	55-44	56%	+3.3	0/99	n=99
on turf	97-89	52%	+2.6	0/186	n=186
at this venue	5-2	71%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

20 lean BAL · 5 lean against

Read this first. 34 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-5	75%from 52%	+3.9	0/20	n=20
on the road + vs HOU	5-2	71%from 54%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
on the road + at this venue	5-2	71%from 54%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
vs HOU + at this venue	5-2	71%from 63%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
vs HOU + on turf	4-2	67%from 63%	+8.6	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in November	38-24	61%from 53%	+5.5	0/62	n=62
+ on turf	18-10	64%from 61%	+6.5	0/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 61%	+2.5	0/10	n=10
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 54%	+2.0	0/43	n=43
in November + on turf	24-19	56%from 56%	+3.7	0/43	n=43
on the road + in the Sunday early window	64-53	55%from 54%	+1.8	0/117	n=117
+ in November	16-9	64%from 55%	+4.4	0/25	n=25
+ on turf	5-4	56%from 64%	+1.7	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 55%	+1.1	0/19	n=19
+ on turf	23-24	49%from 55%	+0.7	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 49%	+2.6	0/11	n=11
on the road + in November	26-22	54%from 54%	+1.5	0/48	n=48
+ on turf	9-9	50%from 54%	+0.2	0/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 54%	-0.6	0/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + on turf	61-55	53%from 53%	+3.0	0/116	n=116
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 53%	+2.9	0/12	n=12
on the road + on turf	42-39	52%from 54%	+1.3	0/81	n=81
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-5	74%from 52%	+3.8	0/19	n=19
vs HOU + in the Sunday early window	5-5	50%from 63%	+0.8	0/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

at home	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
vs BAL	6-10	38%	-4.1	4/16	n=16
off a bye	20-20	50%	-0.6	6/40	n=40
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in November	49-42	54%	+0.7	12/91	n=91
on turf	74-86	46%	-1.4	42/160	n=160
at this venue	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

46 lean HOU · 38 lean against

Read this first. 125 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
off a bye + in November	10-7	59%from 50%	+1.8	2/17	n=17
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 59%	+2.5	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 59%	+1.1	1/5	n=5
in November + on turf	21-15	58%from 54%	+2.3	11/36	n=36
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 58%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 58%	+1.1	8/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	3-5	38%from 50%	-0.1	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 50%	-1.7	8/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 58%	+0.7	11/15	n=15
at home + off a bye	7-5	58%from 49%	+1.7	2/12	n=12
+ in the Sunday early window	5-1	83%from 58%	+5.2	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.2	1/6	n=6
+ in November	3-2	60%from 58%	+1.1	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.1	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	7-5	58%from 58%	+1.7	2/12	n=12
off a bye + at this venue	7-5	58%from 50%	+1.7	2/12	n=12
off a bye + in the Sunday early window	15-12	56%from 50%	-0.3	4/27	n=27
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 56%	+5.2	1/6	n=6
+ in November	7-4	64%from 56%	+2.6	1/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 56%	+2.1	4/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-5	50%from 56%	-4.2	2/10	n=10
off a bye + on turf	8-7	53%from 50%	-2.4	4/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 53%	-2.4	4/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.