ATL at MIN

ST Model MIN -4.1
Trends · player props · 2026 week 12
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
ATL — the basics
426 graded games since 1999
on the road106-10650%-0.223/212n=212
vs MIN5-838%-2.43/13n=13
off a bye26-2353%+1.16/49n=49
in the Sunday early window126-15645%-1.629/282n=282
in November47-5247%+0.111/99n=99
indoors115-14444%-1.032/259n=259
on turf138-16446%-1.032/302n=302
under this head coach21-2447%-0.945/45n=45
in the last 5 seasons34-4941%-2.834/83n=83
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
ATL — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per gamen=426
ATL — combinations
42 lean ATL · 67 lean against
Read this first. 142 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons7-188%from 53%+5.84/8n=8
off a bye + in November12-667%from 53%+5.22/18n=18
+ on turf8-562%from 67%+4.52/13n=13
+ indoors7-558%from 67%+3.42/12n=12
+ on turf7-558%from 58%+3.42/12n=12
off a bye + under this head coach4-267%from 53%+3.06/6n=6
on the road + off a bye14-1156%from 50%+2.83/25n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons5-0100%from 56%+4.92/5n=5
+ in November7-278%from 56%+9.61/9n=9
+ indoors5-456%from 56%+1.22/9n=9
+ on turf4-450%from 56%+0.81/8n=8
+ in the Sunday early window9-853%from 56%+2.41/17n=17
+ in November6-275%from 53%+9.11/8n=8
+ on turf3-350%from 53%+4.01/6n=6
+ indoors2-340%from 53%+1.31/5n=5
+ on turf5-550%from 56%+0.51/10n=10
in November + under this head coach6-555%from 47%+0.511/11n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 55%-3.38/8n=8
on the road + in November27-2354%from 50%+2.17/50n=50
+ on turf14-864%from 54%+3.15/22n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 64%-2.64/6n=6
+ under this head coach2-340%from 64%-0.85/5n=5
+ indoors9-853%from 54%+1.04/17n=17
+ on turf8-657%from 53%+1.63/14n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 53%-2.93/6n=6
+ under this head coach3-443%from 54%-4.87/7n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 43%-3.76/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons5-742%from 54%-4.96/12n=12
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.