How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
TB — the basics
425 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-107 | 50% | +0.6 | 35/213 | n=213 |
| vs DET | 6-13 | 32% | +0.2 | 4/19 | n=19 |
| off a bye | 25-18 | 58% | +4.8 | 7/43 | n=43 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-125 | 52% | +0.8 | 38/259 | n=259 |
| in November | 55-43 | 56% | +1.0 | 13/98 | n=98 |
| indoors | 49-41 | 54% | +2.1 | 19/90 | n=90 |
| on turf | 60-57 | 51% | +1.4 | 25/117 | n=117 |
| at this venue | 5-5 | 50% | +4.5 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| under this head coach | 31-40 | 44% | +0.0 | 71/71 | n=71 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 41-49 | 46% | +0.1 | 71/90 | n=90 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
TB — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=425 |
| TB has failed to cover 9 straight | n=9 |
TB — combinations
105 lean TB · 10 lean against
Read this first. 164 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off a bye + in November | 10-4 | 71%from 58% | +6.0 | 4/14 | n=14 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +9.8 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 71% | -3.9 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 17-8 | 68%from 51% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| off a bye + on turf | 7-4 | 64%from 58% | +6.0 | 3/11 | n=11 |
| indoors + under this head coach | 12-7 | 63%from 54% | +4.3 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 63% | +4.3 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| in the Sunday early window + indoors | 37-23 | 62%from 52% | +3.0 | 10/60 | n=60 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-2 | 83%from 62% | +5.8 | 10/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 8-2 | 80%from 62% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-2 | 80%from 80% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + on turf | 37-21 | 64%from 62% | +3.9 | 10/58 | n=58 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-2 | 83%from 64% | +5.8 | 10/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 8-2 | 80%from 64% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 4-3 | 57%from 64% | +4.1 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| + at this venue | 4-3 | 57%from 62% | +4.1 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 51% | +2.6 | 25/31 | n=31 |
| indoors + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 54% | +2.7 | 19/23 | n=23 |
| off a bye + in the Sunday early window | 17-11 | 61%from 58% | +5.3 | 6/28 | n=28 |
| + on turf | 6-3 | 67%from 61% | +6.8 | 3/9 | n=9 |
| + indoors | 4-2 | 67%from 61% | +6.3 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + on turf | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +6.3 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + in November | 7-4 | 64%from 61% | +5.0 | 4/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 64% | -3.9 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + under this head coach | 3-3 | 50%from 61% | +2.5 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 50% | +2.5 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 61% | -0.7 | 6/7 | n=7 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.