PIT at PHI—

ST Model PHI -3.8

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs PHI	2-6	25%	-5.1	0/8	n=8
in the Sunday late window	42-39	52%	+0.7	0/81	n=81
in November	49-50	49%	+0.4	0/99	n=99
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

20 lean PIT · 21 lean against

Read this first. 54 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%from 54%	+0.3	0/63	n=63
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 49%	-1.2	0/18	n=18
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	+1.1	0/11	n=11
in November + on grass	32-27	54%from 49%	+2.4	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	+0.2	0/13	n=13
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	40-35	53%from 54%	-0.8	0/75	n=75
outdoors + on grass	146-128	53%from 54%	+1.3	0/274	n=274
+ in the last 5 seasons	33-28	54%from 53%	-0.1	0/61	n=61
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	23-21	52%from 53%	-0.8	0/44	n=44
on the road + outdoors	96-88	52%from 53%	+0.3	0/184	n=184
+ on grass	62-60	51%from 52%	+0.5	0/122	n=122
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 51%	-1.8	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-17	47%from 52%	-2.2	0/32	n=32
on the road + on grass	66-62	52%from 53%	+0.6	0/128	n=128
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 52%	-0.6	0/22	n=22
on the road + in November	26-25	51%from 53%	-0.5	0/51	n=51
+ on grass	15-12	56%from 51%	+2.0	0/27	n=27
+ outdoors	23-21	52%from 51%	-0.2	0/44	n=44
+ on grass	15-12	56%from 52%	+2.0	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 52%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 51%	-3.9	0/8	n=8
in November + outdoors	46-46	50%from 49%	+0.6	0/92	n=92
+ on grass	32-27	54%from 50%	+2.4	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	+0.2	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 50%	-1.4	0/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PHI — the basics

449 graded games since 1999

at home	115-112	51%	+0.8	48/227	n=227
vs PIT	6-2	75%	+5.1	2/8	n=8
off a bye	34-23	60%	+3.1	15/57	n=57
in the Sunday late window	56-56	50%	+0.8	25/112	n=112
in November	55-47	54%	+0.5	19/102	n=102
outdoors	208-178	54%	+1.4	75/386	n=386
on grass	156-151	51%	+0.8	64/307	n=307
at this venue	96-101	49%	+0.5	45/197	n=197
under this head coach	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92
in the last 5 seasons	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PHI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 449 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=449
PHI has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

PHI — combinations

119 lean PHI · 79 lean against

Read this first. 221 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs PIT + on grass	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.0	2/6	n=6
vs PIT + outdoors	6-2	75%from 75%	+5.1	2/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.0	2/6	n=6
off a bye + outdoors	28-17	62%from 60%	+2.8	9/45	n=45
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 62%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 62%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ on grass	20-15	57%from 62%	+1.7	9/35	n=35
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 57%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 57%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 57%	+1.6	5/26	n=26
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 62%	+1.6	5/26	n=26
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 50%	+0.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+0.3	5/5	n=5
off a bye + under this head coach	9-6	60%from 60%	+2.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 60%	+2.7	15/15	n=15
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 60%	+2.7	15/15	n=15
off a bye + in November	7-5	58%from 60%	+1.2	4/12	n=12
+ on grass	4-4	50%from 58%	-1.3	3/8	n=8
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 50%	-3.6	1/6	n=6
+ outdoors	4-5	44%from 58%	-2.8	3/9	n=9
+ on grass	4-4	50%from 44%	-1.3	3/8	n=8
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 44%	-3.6	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 58%	-3.6	1/6	n=6
in November + under this head coach	11-8	58%from 54%	+0.9	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 58%	+0.9	19/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.