NYJ at LAC—

ST Model LAC -8.9

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-116	45%	-1.4	8/211	n=211
vs LAC	8-4	67%	+0.8	0/12	n=12
in the Sunday late window	43-57	43%	-2.5	1/100	n=100
in November	42-51	45%	+0.2	4/93	n=93
indoors	16-16	50%	+1.7	1/32	n=32
on turf	127-148	46%	-0.8	12/275	n=275
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

6 lean NYJ · 35 lean against

Read this first. 52 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 79% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LAC + in the Sunday late window	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.9	0/5	n=5
on the road + vs LAC	5-2	71%from 45%	+4.7	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday late window	4-1	80%from 71%	+6.9	0/5	n=5
vs LAC + on turf	4-2	67%from 67%	-3.2	0/6	n=6
indoors + on turf	15-13	54%from 50%	+2.9	1/28	n=28
on the road + indoors	16-16	50%from 45%	+1.7	1/32	n=32
+ on turf	15-13	54%from 50%	+2.9	1/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-5	17%from 50%	-7.5	1/6	n=6
in the Sunday late window + indoors	4-5	44%from 43%	-0.1	0/9	n=9
+ on turf	4-4	50%from 44%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
in November + on turf	29-39	43%from 45%	-0.7	3/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-9	36%from 43%	-2.0	3/14	n=14
on the road + on turf	38-53	42%from 45%	-2.2	4/91	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-13	24%from 42%	-6.8	4/17	n=17
in the Sunday late window + in November	7-10	41%from 43%	-2.9	0/17	n=17
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 41%	-3.5	0/9	n=9
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
on the road + in the Sunday late window	29-42	41%from 45%	-3.5	1/71	n=71
+ indoors	4-5	44%from 41%	-0.1	0/9	n=9
+ on turf	4-4	50%from 44%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
+ in November	5-8	38%from 41%	-2.5	0/13	n=13
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 38%	-3.9	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	8-20	29%from 41%	-4.5	1/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	0-5	0%from 29%	-12.6	1/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 41%	-9.8	1/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

at home	100-111	47%	-0.1	17/211	n=211
vs NYJ	4-8	33%	-0.8	0/12	n=12
in the Sunday late window	106-117	48%	-0.5	12/223	n=223
in November	49-52	49%	-0.2	8/101	n=101
indoors	47-37	56%	-0.9	23/84	n=84
on turf	64-56	53%	-0.1	23/120	n=120
at this venue	26-23	53%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

86 lean LAC · 52 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 47%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
at this venue + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
indoors + under this head coach	16-7	70%from 56%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 70%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 48%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
on turf + under this head coach	15-8	65%from 53%	+1.1	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 65%	+1.1	23/23	n=23
in November + on turf	18-10	64%from 49%	+2.7	5/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 64%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 64%	+2.1	5/12	n=12
+ at this venue	5-7	42%from 64%	-0.1	5/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 42%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 42%	+0.7	5/10	n=10
in November + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 49%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	32-24	57%from 53%	+0.3	23/56	n=56
indoors + on turf	42-32	57%from 56%	-0.8	20/74	n=74
+ under this head coach	14-6	70%from 57%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 70%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-21	56%from 57%	-0.6	20/48	n=48
+ at this venue	26-23	53%from 57%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
+ under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-19	54%from 53%	-0.6	17/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.