NO at CHI—

ST Model CHI -7.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-94	56%	+1.7	9/216	n=216
vs CHI	9-6	60%	+2.7	1/15	n=15
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in November	52-49	51%	+1.4	4/101	n=101
outdoors	96-67	59%	+2.7	7/163	n=163
on grass	77-57	57%	+1.6	5/134	n=134
at this venue	4-4	50%	+3.0	1/8	n=8
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

69 lean NO · 11 lean against

Read this first. 109 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	4-1	80%from 57%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
outdoors + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+1.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 71%	+1.1	7/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
on the road + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 56%	0.0	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	0.0	9/9	n=9
vs CHI + in the Sunday early window	6-3	67%from 60%	+4.1	1/9	n=9
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 67%	+5.0	1/5	n=5
in November + outdoors	25-13	66%from 51%	+4.7	2/38	n=38
+ on grass	22-11	67%from 66%	+3.8	2/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 67%	-1.6	2/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 66%	-1.6	2/7	n=7
in November + on grass	22-12	65%from 51%	+3.3	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 65%	-1.6	2/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	58-34	63%from 52%	+3.6	6/92	n=92
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 63%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 63%	+3.8	6/22	n=22
+ on grass	45-30	60%from 63%	+1.7	5/75	n=75
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 60%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 60%	+0.7	5/16	n=16
on the road + in the Sunday early window	76-47	62%from 56%	+3.2	7/123	n=123
+ under this head coach	6-1	86%from 62%	+4.8	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 86%	+4.8	7/7	n=7
+ outdoors	56-32	64%from 62%	+3.8	6/88	n=88
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 64%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 64%	+4.0	6/21	n=21
+ on grass	44-28	61%from 64%	+1.9	5/72	n=72
+ in November	20-13	61%from 62%	+3.4	2/33	n=33
+ outdoors	17-6	74%from 61%	+6.2	2/23	n=23
+ on grass	15-6	71%from 61%	+3.6	2/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 61%	-3.7	2/8	n=8
+ on grass	44-29	60%from 62%	+1.7	5/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 60%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 60%	+0.7	5/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-12	59%from 62%	+3.1	7/29	n=29

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CHI — the basics

414 graded games since 1999

at home	105-106	50%	+0.7	9/211	n=211
vs NO	6-9	40%	-2.7	1/15	n=15
off a bye	22-30	42%	-0.2	1/52	n=52
in the Sunday early window	119-125	49%	+0.8	7/244	n=244
in November	58-41	59%	+0.8	4/99	n=99
outdoors	163-175	48%	+0.3	15/338	n=338
on grass	146-154	49%	+0.4	15/300	n=300
at this venue	101-100	50%	+0.7	9/201	n=201
under this head coach	11-7	61%	+2.4	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	39-39	50%	+0.0	18/78	n=78

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CHI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 414 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=414
CHI has covered 2 straight	n=2

CHI — combinations

128 lean CHI · 44 lean against

Read this first. 205 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 59%	-0.3	4/16	n=16
at home + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 50%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
at this venue + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 50%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 42%	+4.0	1/11	n=11
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 61%	+2.4	18/18	n=18
outdoors + under this head coach	9-6	60%from 48%	+4.1	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 60%	+4.1	15/15	n=15
on grass + under this head coach	9-6	60%from 49%	+4.1	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 60%	+4.1	15/15	n=15
at home + in the last 5 seasons	23-16	59%from 50%	+2.8	9/39	n=39
at home + in November	27-19	59%from 50%	+0.5	1/46	n=46
+ outdoors	27-19	59%from 59%	+0.5	1/46	n=46
+ on grass	25-18	58%from 59%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ at this venue	25-18	58%from 59%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 59%	-3.2	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	25-18	58%from 59%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ at this venue	25-18	58%from 58%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 58%	-3.2	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	25-18	58%from 59%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 58%	-3.2	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 59%	-3.2	1/6	n=6
in November + outdoors	48-34	59%from 59%	+0.9	3/82	n=82
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 59%	-0.8	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	25-18	58%from 59%	+0.5	1/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 58%	-3.2	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	39-29	57%from 59%	+0.6	2/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 57%	+0.3	2/8	n=8
+ at this venue	25-18	58%from 57%	+0.5	1/43	n=43

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.