MIN at SF—

ST Model SF -4.5

Since first recorded SF -3.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 6d ago · 4 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIN — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	104-108	49%	-1.3	30/212	n=212
vs SF	6-5	55%	+3.1	2/11	n=11
on Sunday night	16-18	47%	-4.7	6/34	n=34
in November	55-45	55%	+0.4	15/100	n=100
outdoors	86-89	49%	-1.8	23/175	n=175
on grass	62-64	49%	-2.2	17/126	n=126
at a neutral site	4-4	50%	-2.6	5/8	n=8
under this head coach	34-31	52%	+0.3	65/65	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	43-39	52%	+0.2	65/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=424
MIN has covered 5 straight	n=5

MIN — combinations

38 lean MIN · 27 lean against

Read this first. 80 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
outdoors + under this head coach	16-7	70%from 49%	+0.8	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 70%	+0.8	23/23	n=23
outdoors + at a neutral site	4-2	67%from 49%	+2.3	4/6	n=6
on grass + at a neutral site	4-2	67%from 49%	-1.0	4/6	n=6
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	19-10	66%from 49%	+0.1	23/29	n=29
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 49%	-1.4	17/23	n=23
on grass + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 49%	-1.4	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	-1.4	17/17	n=17
on Sunday night + in November	5-3	63%from 47%	+0.9	2/8	n=8
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 55%	-0.5	15/19	n=19
on the road + under this head coach	17-13	57%from 49%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-13	57%from 57%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 49%	-1.6	30/39	n=39
in November + under this head coach	8-7	53%from 55%	-1.6	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 53%	-1.6	15/15	n=15
on the road + in November	27-24	53%from 49%	-0.6	8/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 53%	+1.6	8/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	5-3	63%from 53%	+1.0	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+1.0	8/8	n=8
+ outdoors	20-22	48%from 53%	-1.5	7/42	n=42
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 48%	-0.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 48%	-0.5	7/9	n=9
+ on grass	15-17	47%from 48%	-2.0	4/32	n=32
+ on grass	15-17	47%from 53%	-2.0	4/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 47%	-1.2	4/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	106-111	49%	+0.6	79/217	n=217
vs MIN	5-6	45%	-3.1	5/11	n=11
on Sunday night	17-20	46%	-1.1	19/37	n=37
in November	47-47	50%	+1.0	30/94	n=94
outdoors	174-181	49%	-0.1	130/355	n=355
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	45-55	45%	-0.3	76/100	n=100
at a neutral site	4-6	40%	-1.4	6/10	n=10
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

71 lean SF · 70 lean against

Read this first. 155 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs MIN	4-1	80%from 49%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
vs MIN + outdoors	4-1	80%from 45%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
vs MIN + on grass	4-1	80%from 45%	+6.3	2/5	n=5
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 50%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
outdoors + at a neutral site	3-2	60%from 49%	+3.3	2/5	n=5
on Sunday night + at this venue	8-6	57%from 46%	+2.1	13/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 57%	+3.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 62%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 57%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	43-35	55%from 49%	+0.6	78/78	n=78
at home + on Sunday night	12-10	55%from 49%	+2.9	13/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 55%	+3.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 62%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
+ outdoors	12-9	57%from 55%	+3.4	13/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 57%	+3.5	13/13	n=13
+ on grass	12-9	57%from 57%	+3.4	13/21	n=21
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 57%	+2.1	13/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 57%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
+ on grass	12-9	57%from 55%	+3.4	13/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 57%	+3.5	13/13	n=13
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 57%	+2.1	13/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 57%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 55%	+2.1	13/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 57%	+3.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 57%	+1.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	+1.5	9/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.