How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
MIA — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-104 | 50% | -0.3 | 0/210 | n=210 |
| vs BUF | 25-27 | 48% | -2.2 | 0/52 | n=52 |
| in a division game | 78-79 | 50% | -0.7 | 0/157 | n=157 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-137 | 49% | -0.2 | 0/271 | n=271 |
| in November | 58-43 | 57% | +2.1 | 0/101 | n=101 |
| outdoors | 188-191 | 50% | -0.3 | 0/379 | n=379 |
| on turf | 61-54 | 53% | -0.6 | 0/115 | n=115 |
| at this venue | 11-14 | 44% | -4.7 | 0/25 | n=25 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 44-42 | 51% | -0.8 | 0/86 | n=86 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
MIA — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=419 |
MIA — combinations
85 lean MIA · 107 lean against
Read this first. 218 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 44% | -0.9 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 13-5 | 72%from 57% | +6.5 | 0/18 | n=18 |
| in a division game + in the last 5 seasons | 20-10 | 67%from 50% | +0.9 | 0/30 | n=30 |
| in November + on turf | 18-10 | 64%from 57% | +2.4 | 0/28 | n=28 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 64% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 16-10 | 62%from 53% | -0.4 | 0/26 | n=26 |
| vs BUF + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 48% | -3.3 | 0/10 | n=10 |
| on the road + in November | 31-23 | 57%from 50% | +2.4 | 0/54 | n=54 |
| + on turf | 18-10 | 64%from 57% | +2.4 | 0/28 | n=28 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 64% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | +1.8 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 22-20 | 52%from 57% | +1.2 | 0/42 | n=42 |
| + on turf | 10-7 | 59%from 52% | -0.4 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 52% | +0.3 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 52% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 57% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in a division game + in November | 16-13 | 55%from 50% | -0.6 | 0/29 | n=29 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 55% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 9-6 | 60%from 55% | -1.2 | 0/15 | n=15 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 60% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 14-13 | 52%from 55% | -1.2 | 0/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 52% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 7-6 | 54%from 52% | -2.5 | 0/13 | n=13 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 52% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 55% | -6.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.