JAX at NYG—

ST Model JAX -4.2

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-104	50%	-1.2	8/209	n=209
vs NYG	5-2	71%	+1.5	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in November	48-43	53%	+0.2	5/91	n=91
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on turf	49-47	51%	-1.4	3/96	n=96
at this venue	4-3	57%	-0.3	0/7	n=7
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

48 lean JAX · 10 lean against

Read this first. 80 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
vs NYG + outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+1.5	0/7	n=7
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 53%	+0.9	5/17	n=17
on the road + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
in November + under this head coach	3-2	60%from 53%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
on the road + at this venue	4-3	57%from 50%	-0.3	0/7	n=7
outdoors + at this venue	4-3	57%from 48%	-0.3	0/7	n=7
on turf + at this venue	4-3	57%from 51%	-0.3	0/7	n=7
in November + outdoors	41-34	55%from 53%	+0.7	2/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 55%	+4.6	2/11	n=11
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 55%	+1.0	0/11	n=11
in the Sunday early window + in November	39-34	53%from 48%	+0.6	3/73	n=73
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 53%	+1.0	3/14	n=14
+ outdoors	33-27	55%from 53%	+1.1	2/60	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 55%	+4.8	2/10	n=10
+ on turf	6-4	60%from 55%	-0.2	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	10-11	48%from 53%	-2.4	1/21	n=21
outdoors + on turf	25-22	53%from 48%	-1.5	1/47	n=47
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 53%	-0.3	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-8	33%from 53%	-4.0	1/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NYG — the basics

428 graded games since 1999

at home	92-117	44%	-1.9	0/209	n=209
vs JAX	2-5	29%	-1.5	0/7	n=7
off a bye	29-22	57%	+1.4	0/51	n=51
in the Sunday early window	110-106	51%	-0.3	0/216	n=216
in November	41-57	42%	-3.1	0/98	n=98
outdoors	183-187	49%	-0.6	0/370	n=370
on turf	136-141	49%	-1.0	0/277	n=277
at this venue	58-72	45%	-1.5	0/130	n=130
in the last 5 seasons	42-44	49%	-0.9	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYG — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 428 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=428
NYG has covered 2 straight	n=2

NYG — combinations

41 lean NYG · 88 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 57%	-2.0	0/11	n=11
off a bye + on turf	20-17	54%from 57%	+0.9	0/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 54%	-2.2	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.2	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-4.5	0/8	n=8
off a bye + outdoors	25-22	53%from 57%	+0.3	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 53%	-2.0	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	17-17	50%from 53%	-0.3	0/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	-2.2	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 50%	-2.2	0/19	n=19
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.2	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-4.5	0/8	n=8
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 42%	-1.6	0/19	n=19
at home + in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 44%	-0.6	0/41	n=41
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 45%	-0.6	0/41	n=41
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	35-35	50%from 49%	-0.4	0/70	n=70
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	30-31	49%from 49%	-1.0	0/61	n=61
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	25-26	49%from 51%	-0.5	0/51	n=51
in the Sunday early window + on turf	76-80	49%from 51%	-1.2	0/156	n=156
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-18	54%from 49%	-0.1	0/39	n=39
+ at this venue	38-50	43%from 49%	-1.4	0/88	n=88
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 43%	+0.3	0/31	n=31
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	94-100	48%from 51%	-0.8	0/194	n=194
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-23	49%from 48%	-0.2	0/45	n=45
+ on turf	61-74	45%from 48%	-1.8	0/135	n=135
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-15	55%from 45%	+0.4	0/33	n=33
+ at this venue	38-50	43%from 45%	-1.4	0/88	n=88
+ at this venue	38-50	43%from 48%	-1.4	0/88	n=88
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 43%	+0.3	0/31	n=31

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.