IND at HOU—

ST Model HOU -2.9

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

on the road	119-98	55%	-0.1	25/217	n=217
vs HOU	27-19	59%	+2.9	6/46	n=46
in a division game	79-79	50%	+0.2	18/158	n=158
on a short week	14-4	78%	+4.1	0/18	n=18
on Thursday night	15-4	79%	+5.2	0/19	n=19
in November	55-45	55%	+0.5	11/100	n=100
on turf	153-137	53%	+0.9	37/290	n=290
at this venue	15-8	65%	+2.1	3/23	n=23
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

92 lean IND · 13 lean against

Read this first. 118 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + on a short week	9-1	90%from 50%	+5.6	0/10	n=10
+ on Thursday night	9-1	90%from 90%	+5.6	0/10	n=10
in a division game + on Thursday night	9-1	90%from 50%	+5.6	0/10	n=10
on turf + at this venue	8-1	89%from 53%	+8.2	3/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 89%	+5.5	3/5	n=5
on a short week + in November	7-1	88%from 78%	+6.3	0/8	n=8
on Thursday night + in November	7-1	88%from 79%	+6.3	0/8	n=8
on the road + on a short week	12-2	86%from 55%	+5.8	0/14	n=14
+ in November	6-0	100%from 86%	+9.8	0/6	n=6
+ on Thursday night	12-2	86%from 86%	+5.8	0/14	n=14
+ in November	6-0	100%from 86%	+9.8	0/6	n=6
on the road + on Thursday night	12-2	86%from 55%	+5.8	0/14	n=14
+ in November	6-0	100%from 86%	+9.8	0/6	n=6
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 65%	+5.5	3/5	n=5
on a short week + on Thursday night	14-4	78%from 78%	+4.1	0/18	n=18
+ in November	7-1	88%from 78%	+6.3	0/8	n=8
+ on turf	5-3	63%from 78%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
on the road + in November	33-12	73%from 55%	+4.3	6/45	n=45
+ on turf	14-5	74%from 73%	+5.8	2/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 73%	+3.8	6/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 73%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
on Thursday night + on turf	6-3	67%from 79%	+6.0	0/9	n=9
vs HOU + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 59%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+0.8	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

at home	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
vs IND	19-27	41%	-2.9	6/46	n=46
in a division game	74-66	53%	+1.6	18/140	n=140
on a short week	6-11	35%	-1.9	3/17	n=17
on Thursday night	6-11	35%	-0.8	2/17	n=17
in November	49-42	54%	+0.7	12/91	n=91
on turf	74-86	46%	-1.4	42/160	n=160
at this venue	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

31 lean HOU · 94 lean against

Read this first. 160 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on a short week + in November	3-2	60%from 35%	+4.7	1/5	n=5
on Thursday night + in November	3-2	60%from 35%	+4.7	1/5	n=5
in November + on turf	21-15	58%from 54%	+2.3	11/36	n=36
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 58%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 58%	+1.1	8/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	3-5	38%from 50%	-0.1	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 50%	-1.7	8/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 58%	+0.7	11/15	n=15
in a division game + in November	18-14	56%from 53%	+1.5	5/32	n=32
+ on turf	7-5	58%from 56%	-0.9	4/12	n=12
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 58%	+0.9	3/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 56%	+2.9	5/6	n=6
+ at this venue	7-9	44%from 56%	+0.5	3/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 56%	-0.4	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 40%	-0.4	5/5	n=5
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	16-14	53%from 53%	+3.0	18/30	n=30
at home + under this head coach	14-13	52%from 49%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-13	52%from 52%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
at this venue + under this head coach	14-13	52%from 49%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-13	52%from 52%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	29-27	52%from 52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
at home + on turf	39-38	51%from 49%	+1.1	27/77	n=77
+ under this head coach	14-13	52%from 51%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-13	52%from 52%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
+ at this venue	39-38	51%from 51%	+1.1	27/77	n=77
+ under this head coach	14-13	52%from 51%	+3.3	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 51%	+1.5	27/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 51%	+1.5	27/44	n=44

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.