BAL at CAR—

ST Model BAL -3.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-102	54%	+1.7	0/224	n=224
vs CAR	2-4	33%	+1.2	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in November	55-44	56%	+3.3	0/99	n=99
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

28 lean BAL · 23 lean against

Read this first. 59 combinations shown. The best one here is 69%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + in November	38-24	61%from 53%	+5.5	0/62	n=62
+ outdoors	35-23	60%from 61%	+5.5	0/58	n=58
+ on grass	20-14	59%from 60%	+4.6	0/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 60%	+2.4	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	20-14	59%from 61%	+4.6	0/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 59%	+2.4	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 61%	+2.5	0/10	n=10
on the road + on grass	80-63	56%from 54%	+1.9	0/143	n=143
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-14	42%from 56%	+0.5	0/24	n=24
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 54%	+2.0	0/43	n=43
in November + on grass	31-25	55%from 56%	+2.9	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-11	27%from 55%	-1.1	0/15	n=15
on the road + in the Sunday early window	64-53	55%from 54%	+1.8	0/117	n=117
+ in November	16-9	64%from 55%	+4.4	0/25	n=25
+ on grass	11-5	69%from 64%	+6.0	0/16	n=16
+ outdoors	13-8	62%from 64%	+4.4	0/21	n=21
+ on grass	41-29	59%from 55%	+2.5	0/70	n=70
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 59%	-1.0	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 55%	+1.1	0/19	n=19
+ outdoors	58-47	55%from 55%	+2.2	0/105	n=105
+ on grass	41-27	60%from 55%	+3.2	0/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 55%	+1.3	0/17	n=17
on the road + in November	26-22	54%from 54%	+1.5	0/48	n=48
+ on grass	17-13	57%from 54%	+2.2	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	0-5	0%from 57%	-6.5	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	19-19	50%from 54%	+0.7	0/38	n=38
+ on grass	17-13	57%from 50%	+2.2	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	0-5	0%from 50%	-6.5	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 54%	-0.6	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-107	49%	-0.9	18/211	n=211
vs BAL	4-2	67%	-1.2	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	149-152	50%	-0.6	25/301	n=301
in November	48-50	49%	-0.7	8/98	n=98
outdoors	167-171	49%	-0.9	29/338	n=338
on grass	159-156	50%	-0.5	28/315	n=315
at this venue	103-107	49%	-0.9	17/210	n=210
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

62 lean CAR · 73 lean against

Read this first. 159 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 68% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 49%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
vs BAL + in the Sunday early window	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.2	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.2	0/6	n=6
vs BAL + outdoors	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.2	0/6	n=6
at home + under this head coach	11-7	61%from 49%	+0.5	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 61%	+0.5	18/18	n=18
at this venue + under this head coach	10-7	59%from 49%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 59%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	14-11	56%from 50%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 56%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
on grass + under this head coach	15-13	54%from 50%	-1.4	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-13	54%from 54%	-1.4	28/28	n=28
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 49%	+0.7	8/19	n=19
outdoors + under this head coach	15-14	52%from 49%	-2.3	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-14	52%from 52%	-2.3	29/29	n=29
at home + in the last 5 seasons	21-21	50%from 49%	-0.1	18/42	n=42
outdoors + on grass	150-153	50%from 49%	-1.0	26/303	n=303
+ under this head coach	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.4	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.4	26/26	n=26
+ at this venue	103-107	49%from 50%	-0.9	17/210	n=210
+ under this head coach	10-7	59%from 49%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-21	49%from 49%	-0.4	17/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-33	43%from 50%	-2.5	26/58	n=58

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.