ARI at KC—

ST Model KC -5.8

Since first recorded KC -11.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 6d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-105	50%	-1.4	26/210	n=210
vs KC	4-3	57%	-6.8	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	58-59	50%	-2.2	15/117	n=117
in November	43-55	44%	-2.5	12/98	n=98
outdoors	108-112	49%	-1.4	19/220	n=220
on grass	157-156	50%	-0.7	35/313	n=313
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

45 lean ARI · 14 lean against

Read this first. 84 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 50%	-0.3	15/21	n=21
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 50%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	26-18	59%from 50%	+1.0	26/44	n=44
vs KC + on grass	4-3	57%from 57%	-6.8	0/7	n=7
on the road + under this head coach	14-12	54%from 50%	-1.4	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 54%	-1.4	26/26	n=26
in the Sunday early window + on grass	29-26	53%from 50%	-1.1	7/55	n=55
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 53%	+3.6	7/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 53%	+0.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.2	7/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	40-36	53%from 50%	-2.1	10/76	n=76
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 53%	+1.9	10/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	6-4	60%from 53%	-1.1	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 60%	-1.1	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	28-25	53%from 53%	-1.4	7/53	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 53%	+3.6	7/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 53%	+0.2	7/7	n=7
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 44%	-1.3	12/19	n=19
on the road + on grass	53-48	52%from 50%	-1.0	11/101	n=101
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 52%	+4.2	11/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 52%	-0.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	-0.1	11/11	n=11
in the Sunday early window + in November	17-16	52%from 50%	-1.4	3/33	n=33
+ on grass	8-8	50%from 52%	-3.1	2/16	n=16
+ outdoors	9-11	45%from 52%	-3.8	2/20	n=20
+ on grass	8-8	50%from 45%	-3.1	2/16	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

at home	109-116	48%	+1.2	122/225	n=225
vs ARI	3-4	43%	+6.8	3/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	101-107	49%	+0.5	79/208	n=208
in November	38-61	38%	-1.5	47/99	n=99
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on grass	181-168	52%	+1.5	173/349	n=349
at this venue	105-116	48%	+1.0	118/221	n=221
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

6 lean KC · 141 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 54%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	94-79	54%from 52%	+2.5	173/173	n=173
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-39	48%from 54%	+0.3	75/75	n=75
outdoors + under this head coach	106-97	52%from 51%	+1.8	203/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	34-44	44%from 52%	-0.6	78/78	n=78
outdoors + on grass	173-162	52%from 51%	+1.4	162/335	n=335
+ under this head coach	87-75	54%from 52%	+2.4	162/162	n=162
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-37	45%from 54%	-0.6	67/67	n=67
+ at this venue	96-106	48%from 52%	+1.2	99/202	n=202
+ under this head coach	47-52	47%from 48%	+1.1	99/99	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.6	48/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-37	45%from 52%	-0.6	67/67	n=67
in the Sunday early window + on grass	82-84	49%from 49%	+1.1	56/166	n=166
+ under this head coach	29-27	52%from 49%	+1.8	56/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 52%	-1.1	14/14	n=14
+ at this venue	57-67	46%from 49%	+0.9	37/124	n=124
+ under this head coach	16-21	43%from 46%	+0.2	37/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 46%	+1.3	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 49%	-1.1	14/14	n=14
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	39-40	49%from 49%	+0.7	79/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 49%	-1.9	18/18	n=18
at home + under this head coach	60-62	49%from 48%	+1.3	122/122	n=122
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-27	47%from 49%	+0.6	51/51	n=51
at home + on grass	100-106	49%from 48%	+1.4	103/206	n=206
+ under this head coach	51-52	50%from 49%	+1.6	103/103	n=103
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-26	48%from 50%	+0.8	50/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-26	48%from 49%	+0.8	50/50	n=50
+ at this venue	96-106	48%from 49%	+1.2	99/202	n=202
+ under this head coach	47-52	47%from 48%	+1.1	99/99	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.6	48/48	n=48

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.