How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
SF — the basics
434 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 108-109 | 50% | -0.6 | 83/217 | n=217 |
| vs DAL | 7-6 | 54% | +1.4 | 6/13 | n=13 |
| in the Sunday late window | 106-110 | 49% | -0.2 | 78/216 | n=216 |
| in November | 47-47 | 50% | +1.0 | 30/94 | n=94 |
| on turf | 56-54 | 51% | -0.7 | 39/110 | n=110 |
| under this head coach | 83-79 | 51% | +0.8 | 162/162 | n=162 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 51-45 | 53% | +0.6 | 96/96 | n=96 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
SF — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=434 |
SF — combinations
30 lean SF · 13 lean against
Read this first. 56 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs DAL + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 54% | +1.0 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 11-7 | 61%from 50% | +4.2 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| vs DAL + in the Sunday late window | 3-2 | 60%from 54% | -1.9 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + in November | 25-18 | 58%from 50% | +2.0 | 13/43 | n=43 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 58% | +9.0 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + under this head coach | 8-5 | 62%from 58% | +4.5 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 62% | +9.0 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 13-10 | 57%from 58% | +1.0 | 6/23 | n=23 |
| + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 57% | +5.2 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 51% | -0.1 | 26/26 | n=26 |
| in November + on turf | 13-10 | 57%from 50% | +1.0 | 6/23 | n=23 |
| + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 57% | +5.2 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 22-17 | 56%from 51% | +0.5 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 56% | -0.1 | 26/26 | n=26 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 46-37 | 55%from 50% | +1.6 | 83/83 | n=83 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 27-23 | 54%from 55% | +0.5 | 50/50 | n=50 |
| on the road + in the Sunday late window | 36-29 | 55%from 50% | +0.3 | 33/65 | n=65 |
| + in November | 7-5 | 58%from 55% | +2.0 | 5/12 | n=12 |
| + on turf | 3-3 | 50%from 58% | +0.3 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 2-3 | 40%from 58% | -2.3 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + under this head coach | 18-15 | 55%from 55% | +1.6 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 55% | -0.6 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 55% | -0.6 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + on turf | 12-13 | 48%from 55% | -3.0 | 13/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 48% | +1.7 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 7-6 | 54%from 48% | +0.1 | 13/13 | n=13 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.