NE at DET—

ST Model DET -4.9

Since first recorded DET -1.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 6d ago · 4 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NE — the basics

455 graded games since 1999

on the road	127-93	58%	+3.3	9/220	n=220
vs DET	4-3	57%	+1.9	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	125-91	58%	+3.0	12/216	n=216
in November	52-43	55%	+3.4	4/95	n=95
indoors	25-22	53%	+2.7	1/47	n=47
on turf	154-110	58%	+3.9	15/264	n=264
at a neutral site	7-8	47%	+1.7	1/15	n=15
under this head coach	14-7	67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
in the last 5 seasons	43-44	49%	+1.3	21/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=455
NE has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

NE — combinations

42 lean NE · 7 lean against

Read this first. 64 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + under this head coach	7-2	78%from 58%	+7.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 78%	+7.2	9/9	n=9
on the road + at a neutral site	6-2	75%from 58%	+7.7	0/8	n=8
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
on turf + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 58%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
in the Sunday early window + indoors	8-4	67%from 58%	+4.8	1/12	n=12
+ on turf	7-1	88%from 67%	+8.9	1/8	n=8
on turf + at a neutral site	4-2	67%from 58%	+6.5	0/6	n=6
on the road + on turf	65-39	63%from 58%	+5.0	4/104	n=104
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 63%	+0.7	4/21	n=21
indoors + on turf	21-13	62%from 53%	+4.6	1/34	n=34
+ at a neutral site	3-2	60%from 62%	+1.7	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 62%	-3.1	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + on turf	76-49	61%from 58%	+4.2	9/125	n=125
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-19	53%from 61%	+3.2	9/40	n=40
+ under this head coach	4-5	44%from 61%	+3.9	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 44%	+3.9	9/9	n=9
on the road + in the Sunday early window	59-41	59%from 58%	+4.1	6/100	n=100
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 59%	+7.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+7.8	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	31-15	67%from 59%	+6.2	3/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 67%	+4.1	3/11	n=11
+ indoors	8-4	67%from 59%	+4.8	1/12	n=12
+ on turf	7-1	88%from 67%	+8.9	1/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 59%	+4.6	6/21	n=21
+ in November	11-9	55%from 59%	+2.5	2/20	n=20
+ on turf	5-2	71%from 55%	+7.4	1/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 55%	+4.0	2/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DET — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	107-102	51%	-0.2	43/209	n=209
vs NE	3-4	43%	-1.9	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	148-139	52%	-0.8	45/287	n=287
in November	47-59	44%	-1.6	19/106	n=106
indoors	137-134	51%	-0.4	58/271	n=271
on turf	153-143	52%	-0.3	64/296	n=296
at this venue	99-94	51%	+0.1	43/193	n=193
under this head coach	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DET — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419

DET — combinations

99 lean DET · 50 lean against

Read this first. 164 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 69%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
on turf + under this head coach	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 66%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
indoors + under this head coach	38-20	66%from 51%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	38-20	66%from 66%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	38-20	66%from 51%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%from 64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
at home + under this head coach	27-16	63%from 51%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-16	63%from 63%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
at home + in the last 5 seasons	27-16	63%from 51%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
at this venue + under this head coach	27-16	63%from 51%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-16	63%from 63%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	27-16	63%from 51%	+3.8	43/43	n=43
in November + under this head coach	11-8	58%from 44%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 58%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 44%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	75-62	55%from 52%	+1.1	27/137	n=137
+ under this head coach	18-9	67%from 55%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 67%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 55%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
at home + in the Sunday early window	80-69	54%from 51%	+0.6	27/149	n=149
+ under this head coach	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 67%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ at this venue	75-62	55%from 54%	+1.1	27/137	n=137
+ under this head coach	18-9	67%from 55%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 55%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ indoors	80-69	54%from 54%	+0.6	27/149	n=149
+ under this head coach	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ at this venue	75-62	55%from 54%	+1.1	27/137	n=137
+ on turf	80-69	54%from 54%	+0.6	27/149	n=149
+ on turf	80-69	54%from 54%	+0.6	27/149	n=149
+ under this head coach	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 54%	+5.8	27/27	n=27
+ at this venue	75-62	55%from 54%	+1.1	27/137	n=137
+ in November	16-17	48%from 54%	+0.1	5/33	n=33
+ at this venue	15-15	50%from 48%	+0.9	5/30	n=30
+ indoors	16-17	48%from 48%	+0.1	5/33	n=33
+ on turf	16-17	48%from 48%	+0.1	5/33	n=33
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 48%	+3.9	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 48%	+3.9	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.