How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
MIN — the basics
424 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-108 | 49% | -1.3 | 30/212 | n=212 |
| vs GB | 28-26 | 52% | -1.5 | 8/54 | n=54 |
| in a division game | 78-80 | 49% | -0.8 | 23/158 | n=158 |
| in the Sunday early window | 144-123 | 54% | +1.0 | 39/267 | n=267 |
| in November | 55-45 | 55% | +0.4 | 15/100 | n=100 |
| outdoors | 86-89 | 49% | -1.8 | 23/175 | n=175 |
| on grass | 62-64 | 49% | -2.2 | 17/126 | n=126 |
| at this venue | 14-14 | 50% | -1.4 | 4/28 | n=28 |
| under this head coach | 34-31 | 52% | +0.3 | 65/65 | n=65 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-39 | 52% | +0.2 | 65/82 | n=82 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
MIN — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=424 |
| MIN has covered 5 straight | n=5 |
MIN — combinations
148 lean MIN · 71 lean against
Read this first. 277 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| outdoors + under this head coach | 16-7 | 70%from 49% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-7 | 70%from 70% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 19-10 | 66%from 49% | +0.1 | 23/29 | n=29 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 15-8 | 65%from 49% | -1.4 | 17/23 | n=23 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 11-6 | 65%from 49% | -1.4 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-6 | 65%from 65% | -1.4 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| vs GB + under this head coach | 5-3 | 63%from 52% | -2.6 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | -2.6 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| vs GB + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 52% | -3.1 | 8/10 | n=10 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 23-16 | 59%from 54% | +4.2 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 23-16 | 59%from 59% | +4.2 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| in the Sunday early window + in November | 37-26 | 59%from 54% | +2.1 | 9/63 | n=63 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-4 | 64%from 59% | +2.8 | 9/11 | n=11 |
| + outdoors | 17-11 | 61%from 59% | +1.8 | 5/28 | n=28 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 61% | +2.0 | 5/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 61% | +1.5 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 9-10 | 47%from 61% | -1.3 | 3/19 | n=19 |
| + under this head coach | 5-4 | 56%from 59% | +2.5 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +2.5 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + on grass | 9-10 | 47%from 59% | -1.3 | 3/19 | n=19 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 55% | -0.5 | 15/19 | n=19 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 17-13 | 57%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-13 | 57%from 57% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 22-17 | 56%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/39 | n=39 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 27-21 | 56%from 54% | +3.2 | 39/48 | n=48 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.