MIA at IND—

ST Model IND -6.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-0.3	0/210	n=210
vs IND	9-8	53%	+1.0	0/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in November	58-43	57%	+2.1	0/101	n=101
on turf	61-54	53%	-0.6	0/115	n=115
at this venue	3-3	50%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

20 lean MIA · 7 lean against

Read this first. 46 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 57%	+6.5	0/18	n=18
on the road + vs IND	7-3	70%from 50%	+2.1	0/10	n=10
+ in November	4-1	80%from 70%	+6.0	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.0	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	7-3	70%from 70%	+2.1	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 70%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	3-3	50%from 70%	-2.2	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-3	50%from 50%	-2.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 70%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
vs IND + on turf	7-3	70%from 53%	+2.1	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 70%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
vs IND + in November	4-2	67%from 53%	+3.5	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.0	0/5	n=5
in November + on turf	18-10	64%from 57%	+2.4	0/28	n=28
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	16-10	62%from 53%	-0.4	0/26	n=26
on the road + in November	31-23	57%from 50%	+2.4	0/54	n=54
+ on turf	18-10	64%from 57%	+2.4	0/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+1.8	0/7	n=7
on the road + on turf	61-54	53%from 50%	-0.6	0/115	n=115
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-10	62%from 53%	-0.4	0/26	n=26
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 53%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	29-26	53%from 49%	+0.1	0/55	n=55
in the Sunday early window + in November	33-31	52%from 49%	+1.1	0/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 52%	+6.0	0/14	n=14
+ on turf	8-8	50%from 52%	-1.0	0/16	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

at home	112-108	51%	+0.8	26/220	n=220
vs MIA	8-9	47%	-1.0	2/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in November	55-45	55%	+0.5	11/100	n=100
on turf	153-137	53%	+0.9	37/290	n=290
at this venue	76-73	51%	+0.6	26/149	n=149
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

20 lean IND · 67 lean against

Read this first. 112 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs MIA + in the Sunday early window	6-3	67%from 47%	+4.8	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	3-3	50%from 67%	+2.2	2/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	58-51	53%from 50%	+1.6	21/109	n=109
+ under this head coach	10-11	48%from 53%	+1.5	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 48%	+1.5	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-18	45%from 53%	+0.6	21/33	n=33
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	27-24	53%from 53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	21-19	53%from 50%	-0.5	40/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-19	53%from 53%	-0.5	40/40	n=40
at home + on turf	112-106	51%from 51%	+0.9	25/218	n=218
+ under this head coach	13-12	52%from 51%	+1.6	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-12	52%from 52%	+1.6	25/25	n=25
+ at this venue	76-72	51%from 51%	+0.6	25/148	n=148
+ under this head coach	13-12	52%from 51%	+1.6	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-22	48%from 51%	+0.4	25/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-22	48%from 51%	+0.4	25/42	n=42
on turf + at this venue	76-72	51%from 53%	+0.6	25/148	n=148
+ under this head coach	13-12	52%from 51%	+1.6	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-12	52%from 52%	+1.6	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-22	48%from 51%	+0.4	25/42	n=42
on turf + under this head coach	19-18	51%from 53%	+0.8	37/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-18	51%from 51%	+0.8	37/37	n=37
at home + at this venue	76-73	51%from 51%	+0.6	26/149	n=149
+ under this head coach	13-13	50%from 51%	+1.6	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-13	50%from 50%	+1.6	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-23	47%from 51%	+0.4	26/43	n=43

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.