LAC at BAL—

ST Model BAL -4.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	118-94	56%	+1.1	19/212	n=212
vs BAL	5-9	36%	-2.8	1/14	n=14
on Monday night	15-14	52%	+2.5	4/29	n=29
in November	49-52	49%	-0.2	8/101	n=101
outdoors	171-168	50%	+0.8	13/339	n=339
on grass	154-149	51%	+0.7	13/303	n=303
at this venue	3-3	50%	-2.8	0/6	n=6
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

26 lean LAC · 21 lean against

Read this first. 72 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + on Monday night	8-4	67%from 56%	+6.1	2/12	n=12
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 67%	+7.0	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 57%	+5.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-4	56%from 67%	+4.2	2/9	n=9
in November + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 49%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
on the road + on grass	80-61	57%from 56%	+1.2	13/141	n=141
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 57%	+1.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	+1.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-16	47%from 57%	-2.4	13/30	n=30
on the road + in November	28-22	56%from 56%	-0.5	3/50	n=50
+ outdoors	24-20	55%from 56%	-1.1	3/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	-2.3	3/9	n=9
+ on grass	15-18	45%from 55%	-3.0	3/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 56%	-2.2	3/10	n=10
+ on grass	15-19	44%from 56%	-2.9	3/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 44%	-5.1	3/8	n=8
on Monday night + in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 52%	+5.1	4/9	n=9
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 50%	+0.4	13/31	n=31
on the road + outdoors	97-80	55%from 56%	+1.3	13/177	n=177
+ on grass	75-56	57%from 55%	+1.4	10/131	n=131
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-11	52%from 57%	-1.4	10/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 57%	+0.3	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 55%	+0.4	13/31	n=31
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 55%	-2.8	0/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	6-7	46%from 55%	+0.9	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 46%	+0.9	13/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs LAC	9-5	64%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
off a bye	31-21	60%	+2.9	0/52	n=52
on Monday night	21-12	64%	+4.2	0/33	n=33
in November	55-44	56%	+3.3	0/99	n=99
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

40 lean BAL · 63 lean against

Read this first. 126 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + in November	7-2	78%from 64%	+6.9	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 78%	+11.4	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 78%	+5.9	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 67%	+11.4	0/5	n=5
vs LAC + on grass	6-3	67%from 64%	+3.9	0/9	n=9
vs LAC + outdoors	7-5	58%from 64%	+2.3	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 58%	+3.9	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 58%	+2.8	0/6	n=6
on Monday night + on grass	11-8	58%from 64%	+2.5	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	+0.6	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 58%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
on Monday night + outdoors	15-11	58%from 64%	+4.2	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	9-7	56%from 58%	+3.2	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 56%	-1.0	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 58%	+6.7	0/10	n=10
on Monday night + in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 64%	+2.9	0/7	n=7
at home + in November	29-22	57%from 51%	+5.0	0/51	n=51
+ outdoors	29-22	57%from 57%	+5.0	0/51	n=51
+ at this venue	29-22	57%from 57%	+5.0	0/51	n=51
+ on grass	14-12	54%from 57%	+3.8	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 57%	+1.6	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	29-22	57%from 57%	+5.0	0/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 57%	+1.6	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	14-12	54%from 57%	+3.8	0/26	n=26
+ at this venue	14-12	54%from 54%	+3.8	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 54%	+1.6	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 57%	+1.6	0/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.