KC at ATL—

ST Model KC -0.9

Since first recorded KC -4.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 6d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-101	53%	+0.5	112/216	n=216
vs ATL	3-4	43%	-1.5	3/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	101-107	49%	+0.5	79/208	n=208
in November	38-61	38%	-1.5	47/99	n=99
on turf	43-49	47%	-1.5	61/92	n=92
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

7 lean KC · 34 lean against

Read this first. 49 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + under this head coach	62-50	55%from 53%	+2.3	112/112	n=112
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-25	44%from 55%	-1.3	45/45	n=45
on the road + in the Sunday early window	38-36	51%from 53%	-0.5	32/74	n=74
+ under this head coach	17-15	53%from 51%	+1.0	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 53%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ on turf	15-19	44%from 51%	-2.1	15/34	n=34
+ under this head coach	6-9	40%from 44%	-1.5	15/15	n=15
+ in November	7-9	44%from 51%	-1.5	7/16	n=16
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 44%	+1.1	3/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 44%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 51%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	39-40	49%from 49%	+0.7	79/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 49%	-1.9	18/18	n=18
on the road + on turf	34-39	47%from 53%	-1.7	42/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	19-23	45%from 47%	-0.2	42/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 45%	-1.9	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 47%	-1.9	20/20	n=20
on turf + under this head coach	28-33	46%from 47%	-0.3	61/61	n=61
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-13	38%from 46%	-2.1	21/21	n=21
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%from 52%	-0.3	96/96	n=96
in the Sunday early window + on turf	19-23	45%from 49%	-2.2	23/42	n=42
+ under this head coach	10-13	43%from 45%	-1.9	23/23	n=23
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	20-25	44%from 53%	-1.3	45/45	n=45
on the road + in November	21-29	42%from 53%	-0.5	23/50	n=50
+ under this head coach	10-13	43%from 42%	+1.0	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 43%	-1.3	8/8	n=8
+ on turf	5-10	33%from 42%	-2.3	8/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	2-6	25%from 33%	-4.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 42%	-1.3	8/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs KC	4-3	57%	+1.5	2/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in November	47-52	47%	+0.1	11/99	n=99
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

5 lean ATL · 72 lean against

Read this first. 92 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs KC + in the Sunday early window	4-2	67%from 57%	+2.1	1/6	n=6
vs KC + on turf	3-2	60%from 57%	+7.6	2/5	n=5
in November + under this head coach	6-5	55%from 47%	+0.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	-3.3	8/8	n=8
in November + on turf	34-37	48%from 47%	-0.4	9/71	n=71
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 48%	+3.8	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 56%	+0.5	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-7	46%from 48%	+1.6	4/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 46%	-3.1	2/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 48%	-2.8	6/12	n=12
in November + at this venue	6-7	46%from 47%	+1.6	4/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 46%	-3.1	2/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in November	31-38	45%from 45%	-0.3	9/69	n=69
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 45%	+2.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 56%	-2.0	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 45%	+2.3	4/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-0.1	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 45%	-2.1	6/13	n=13
+ on turf	21-29	42%from 45%	-1.8	8/50	n=50
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 42%	+2.3	4/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 42%	+2.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 42%	-3.1	5/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	15-19	44%from 47%	-2.8	34/34	n=34
on turf + under this head coach	14-18	44%from 46%	+0.1	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-14	39%from 44%	-2.3	23/23	n=23

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.