JAX at TEN

ST Model JAX -7.9
Trends · player props · 2026 week 10
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
JAX — the basics
418 graded games since 1999
on the road105-10450%-1.28/209n=209
vs TEN25-2550%+0.32/50n=50
in a division game84-7354%+0.66/157n=157
off a bye21-1953%-2.21/40n=40
in the Sunday early window145-15548%-0.213/300n=300
in November48-4353%+0.25/91n=91
outdoors171-18848%-0.814/359n=359
on grass152-17047%-0.615/322n=322
at this venue11-1444%-1.21/25n=25
under this head coach12-667%+6.118/18n=18
in the last 5 seasons46-4153%+0.218/87n=87
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
JAX — form & streaks
Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per gamen=418
JAX — combinations
209 lean JAX · 56 lean against
Read this first. 315 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
in a division game + under this head coach5-183%from 54%+9.46/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 83%+9.46/6n=6
on grass + under this head coach11-473%from 47%+7.715/15n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons11-473%from 73%+7.715/15n=15
outdoors + under this head coach10-471%from 48%+8.314/14n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons10-471%from 71%+8.314/14n=14
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 67%+6.118/18n=18
in November + in the last 5 seasons11-665%from 53%+0.95/17n=17
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons19-1163%from 54%+2.86/30n=30
in a division game + off a bye10-663%from 54%-0.30/16n=16
+ in the Sunday early window10-567%from 63%+0.60/15n=15
+ on grass8-373%from 67%-0.20/11n=11
+ in November5-271%from 67%+2.90/7n=7
+ outdoors6-367%from 67%-1.50/9n=9
+ on grass8-467%from 63%-1.30/12n=12
+ in November5-363%from 63%+0.80/8n=8
+ on grass4-180%from 63%+3.90/5n=5
+ outdoors6-460%from 63%-2.80/10n=10
+ on grass6-460%from 60%-2.80/10n=10
on the road + under this head coach5-363%from 50%+4.38/8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-363%from 63%+4.38/8n=8
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach8-562%from 48%+6.013/13n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons8-562%from 62%+6.013/13n=13
vs TEN + in November9-660%from 50%+3.61/15n=15
+ outdoors9-660%from 60%+3.61/15n=15
+ on grass9-660%from 60%+3.61/15n=15
+ at this venue4-450%from 60%+2.21/8n=8
+ on grass9-660%from 60%+3.61/15n=15
+ at this venue4-450%from 60%+2.21/8n=8
+ at this venue4-450%from 60%+2.21/8n=8
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.