How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
BUF — the basics
423 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 108-101 | 52% | +0.1 | 77/209 | n=209 |
| vs NYJ | 28-24 | 54% | +1.4 | 18/52 | n=52 |
| in a division game | 75-84 | 47% | -0.3 | 54/159 | n=159 |
| in the Sunday early window | 148-139 | 52% | +0.3 | 88/287 | n=287 |
| in November | 50-45 | 53% | -0.3 | 35/95 | n=95 |
| outdoors | 196-182 | 52% | +0.6 | 138/378 | n=378 |
| on turf | 155-146 | 52% | +1.1 | 117/301 | n=301 |
| at this venue | 9-8 | 53% | +0.3 | 10/17 | n=17 |
| under this head coach | 85-73 | 54% | +2.3 | 158/158 | n=158 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 47-45 | 51% | +2.8 | 92/92 | n=92 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
BUF — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game | n=423 |
BUF — combinations
243 lean BUF · 44 lean against
Read this first. 344 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs NYJ + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 54% | +5.6 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| in November + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 53% | +5.9 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| vs NYJ + in November | 8-5 | 62%from 54% | +5.4 | 5/13 | n=13 |
| + on turf | 8-4 | 67%from 62% | +7.1 | 5/12 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +5.9 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +8.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 62% | +5.9 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 62% | +8.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 7-5 | 58%from 62% | +3.2 | 5/12 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 58% | +5.9 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| + on turf | 7-4 | 64%from 58% | +4.8 | 5/11 | n=11 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 58% | +8.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| vs NYJ + under this head coach | 11-7 | 61%from 54% | +3.9 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 61% | +5.6 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| at this venue + under this head coach | 6-4 | 60%from 53% | +4.5 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +1.7 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 53% | +1.7 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + at this venue | 7-5 | 58%from 52% | +2.1 | 7/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 5-2 | 71%from 58% | +9.6 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| in November + on turf | 39-29 | 57%from 53% | +1.4 | 27/68 | n=68 |
| + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 57% | +5.9 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 15-12 | 56%from 57% | +0.4 | 27/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-8 | 50%from 56% | -0.8 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-8 | 50%from 57% | -0.8 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 49-39 | 56%from 52% | +2.3 | 88/88 | n=88 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-19 | 53%from 56% | +2.7 | 40/40 | n=40 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.