How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NYJ — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 95-116 | 45% | -1.4 | 8/211 | n=211 |
| vs KC | 4-7 | 36% | -0.8 | 0/11 | n=11 |
| in the Sunday early window | 119-122 | 49% | +0.4 | 14/241 | n=241 |
| in November | 42-51 | 45% | +0.2 | 4/93 | n=93 |
| outdoors | 179-208 | 46% | -1.0 | 16/387 | n=387 |
| on grass | 68-76 | 47% | -0.8 | 5/144 | n=144 |
| under this head coach | 7-10 | 41% | -5.7 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-51 | 39% | -2.8 | 17/84 | n=84 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NYJ — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game | n=419 |
| NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight | n=5 |
NYJ — combinations
26 lean NYJ · 35 lean against
Read this first. 74 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on grass + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 47% | -1.4 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -1.4 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| in November + on grass | 13-12 | 52%from 45% | +2.6 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| in the Sunday early window + on grass | 37-35 | 51%from 49% | +0.6 | 4/72 | n=72 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-6 | 63%from 51% | +0.8 | 4/16 | n=16 |
| in the Sunday early window + in November | 28-28 | 50%from 49% | +2.8 | 3/56 | n=56 |
| + on grass | 9-5 | 64%from 50% | +7.0 | 1/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 50% | +2.5 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| + outdoors | 26-26 | 50%from 50% | +2.7 | 3/52 | n=52 |
| + on grass | 9-5 | 64%from 50% | +7.0 | 1/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 50% | +1.7 | 3/9 | n=9 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 7-7 | 50%from 49% | -5.6 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-7 | 50%from 50% | -5.6 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| on the road + in the Sunday early window | 49-50 | 49%from 45% | +0.4 | 5/99 | n=99 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 49% | -3.8 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -3.8 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 32-26 | 55%from 49% | +2.0 | 3/58 | n=58 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 55% | +0.5 | 3/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-12 | 52%from 49% | -1.6 | 5/25 | n=25 |
| + outdoors | 44-45 | 49%from 49% | +0.1 | 4/89 | n=89 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-10 | 55%from 49% | -1.4 | 4/22 | n=22 |
| + on grass | 31-26 | 54%from 49% | +1.7 | 3/57 | n=57 |
| + in November | 11-12 | 48%from 49% | +2.6 | 1/23 | n=23 |
| + on grass | 7-5 | 58%from 48% | +5.7 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| + outdoors | 9-10 | 47%from 48% | +2.5 | 1/19 | n=19 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.