JAX at BAL—

ST Model BAL -0.7

Since first recorded BAL -4.5o/u 49.5unchanged · 6d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-104	50%	-1.2	8/209	n=209
vs BAL	7-6	54%	+3.5	0/13	n=13
on a short week	7-7	50%	-0.9	0/14	n=14
on Thursday night	7-8	47%	-1.6	0/15	n=15
in November	48-43	53%	+0.2	5/91	n=91
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	3-3	50%	-2.1	0/6	n=6
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

31 lean JAX · 11 lean against

Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 53%	+0.9	5/17	n=17
on the road + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
in November + under this head coach	3-2	60%from 53%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
in November + outdoors	41-34	55%from 53%	+0.7	2/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 55%	+4.6	2/11	n=11
+ on grass	34-30	53%from 55%	+0.7	2/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 53%	+4.6	2/11	n=11
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	33-28	54%from 47%	+1.3	15/61	n=61
vs BAL + outdoors	7-6	54%from 54%	+3.5	0/13	n=13
+ on grass	5-5	50%from 54%	+4.3	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 54%	-2.1	0/6	n=6
in November + on grass	37-32	54%from 53%	+0.9	4/69	n=69
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 54%	+3.8	4/13	n=13
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 50%	-1.4	8/42	n=42
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.5	14/70	n=70
on the road + in November	23-22	51%from 50%	-0.3	4/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 51%	-2.1	4/8	n=8
+ outdoors	16-13	55%from 51%	+0.6	1/29	n=29
+ on grass	9-9	50%from 55%	+0.4	1/18	n=18
+ on grass	12-11	52%from 51%	+1.0	3/23	n=23

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs JAX	6-7	46%	-3.5	0/13	n=13
on a short week	9-8	53%	+3.6	0/17	n=17
on Thursday night	8-10	44%	+1.1	0/18	n=18
in November	55-44	56%	+3.3	0/99	n=99
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

57 lean BAL · 48 lean against

Read this first. 141 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on a short week + on grass	6-3	67%from 53%	+3.9	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	-3.2	0/6	n=6
at home + on a short week	6-4	60%from 51%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ on Thursday night	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ in November	3-3	50%from 60%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ in November	3-3	50%from 60%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
at home + on Thursday night	6-4	60%from 51%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/10	n=10
+ in November	3-3	50%from 60%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	-0.1	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	-0.1	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.