HOU at LAC—

ST Model HOU -2

Trends · player props · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs LAC	4-7	36%	+1.4	2/11	n=11
off a bye	20-20	50%	-0.6	6/40	n=40
in the Sunday late window	19-25	43%	-1.0	3/44	n=44
in November	49-42	54%	+0.7	12/91	n=91
indoors	89-104	46%	-1.4	32/193	n=193
on turf	74-86	46%	-1.4	42/160	n=160
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

36 lean HOU · 27 lean against

Read this first. 83 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
in the Sunday late window + in November	4-2	67%from 43%	-0.6	0/6	n=6
on the road + in November	28-18	61%from 48%	+2.8	4/46	n=46
+ on turf	12-6	67%from 61%	+3.4	3/18	n=18
+ indoors	6-4	60%from 61%	+0.8	2/10	n=10
+ on turf	5-4	56%from 60%	+0.8	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 61%	+5.2	4/8	n=8
vs LAC + on turf	3-2	60%from 36%	+8.8	2/5	n=5
off a bye + in November	10-7	59%from 50%	+1.8	2/17	n=17
+ indoors	4-2	67%from 59%	+2.0	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 59%	+2.5	2/5	n=5
in November + on turf	21-15	58%from 54%	+2.3	11/36	n=36
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 58%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	+2.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 58%	+0.7	11/15	n=15
off a bye + on turf	8-7	53%from 50%	-2.4	4/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 53%	-2.4	4/6	n=6
indoors + under this head coach	17-15	53%from 46%	+2.3	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 53%	+2.3	32/32	n=32
in November + indoors	23-21	52%from 54%	-0.3	10/44	n=44
+ on turf	14-13	52%from 52%	+1.0	10/27	n=27
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 52%	+2.3	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 52%	+0.3	10/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 52%	+2.3	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+2.3	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 52%	+0.3	10/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

at home	100-111	47%	-0.1	17/211	n=211
vs HOU	7-4	64%	-1.4	2/11	n=11
in the Sunday late window	106-117	48%	-0.5	12/223	n=223
in November	49-52	49%	-0.2	8/101	n=101
indoors	47-37	56%	-0.9	23/84	n=84
on turf	64-56	53%	-0.1	23/120	n=120
at this venue	26-23	53%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

87 lean LAC · 50 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 47%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
at this venue + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
indoors + under this head coach	16-7	70%from 56%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 70%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 48%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
on turf + under this head coach	15-8	65%from 53%	+1.1	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 65%	+1.1	23/23	n=23
in November + on turf	18-10	64%from 49%	+2.7	5/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 64%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 64%	+2.1	5/12	n=12
+ at this venue	5-7	42%from 64%	-0.1	5/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 42%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 42%	+0.7	5/10	n=10
in November + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 49%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
at home + vs HOU	3-2	60%from 47%	+1.8	1/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	32-24	57%from 53%	+0.3	23/56	n=56
indoors + on turf	42-32	57%from 56%	-0.8	20/74	n=74
+ under this head coach	14-6	70%from 57%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 70%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-21	56%from 57%	-0.6	20/48	n=48
+ at this venue	26-23	53%from 57%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
+ under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-19	54%from 53%	-0.6	17/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.