DET at MIA—

ST Model DET -3

Trends · player props · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DET — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-1.5	44/210	n=210
vs MIA	3-4	43%	-4.4	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	148-139	52%	-0.8	45/287	n=287
in November	47-59	44%	-1.6	19/106	n=106
outdoors	76-72	51%	-1.6	29/148	n=148
on grass	60-63	49%	-2.2	23/123	n=123
under this head coach	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DET — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419

DET — combinations

68 lean DET · 15 lean against

Read this first. 96 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 69%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
on the road + under this head coach	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 66%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%from 64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
outdoors + under this head coach	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 62%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
on grass + under this head coach	14-9	61%from 49%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 61%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 49%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
in November + under this head coach	11-8	58%from 44%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 58%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 44%	+3.2	19/19	n=19
on the road + outdoors	76-72	51%from 50%	-1.6	29/148	n=148
+ under this head coach	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 62%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
+ on grass	57-57	50%from 51%	-2.0	22/114	n=114
+ under this head coach	13-9	59%from 50%	-0.4	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	-0.4	22/22	n=22
outdoors + on grass	57-57	50%from 51%	-2.0	22/114	n=114
+ under this head coach	13-9	59%from 50%	-0.4	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 59%	-0.4	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	-0.4	22/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	103-106	49%	-0.1	0/209	n=209
vs DET	4-3	57%	+4.4	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in November	58-43	57%	+2.1	0/101	n=101
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
at this venue	102-104	50%	-0.0	0/206	n=206
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

73 lean MIA · 14 lean against

Read this first. 100 combinations shown. The best one here is 82%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 57%	+6.5	0/18	n=18
at home + in November	27-20	57%from 49%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
+ outdoors	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ on grass	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
in November + at this venue	27-20	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 49%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 50%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
in November + outdoors	49-40	55%from 57%	+1.4	0/89	n=89
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 55%	+6.3	0/17	n=17
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 55%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	39-33	54%from 55%	+1.8	0/72	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 54%	+6.3	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 54%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
in November + on grass	40-33	55%from 57%	+1.9	0/73	n=73
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 55%	+6.3	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	27-20	57%from 55%	+1.6	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 57%	+9.5	0/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.