DEN at CAR—

ST Model DEN -2.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	100-111	47%	-1.3	25/211	n=211
vs CAR	5-3	63%	+2.9	1/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window	41-45	48%	-1.9	10/86	n=86
in November	47-50	48%	-0.2	11/97	n=97
outdoors	185-197	48%	-0.5	42/382	n=382
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

27 lean DEN · 40 lean against

Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + under this head coach	7-4	64%from 48%	+3.6	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+3.6	11/11	n=11
vs CAR + outdoors	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.9	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.9	1/8	n=8
vs CAR + on grass	5-3	63%from 63%	+2.9	1/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 48%	-0.8	10/18	n=18
on grass + under this head coach	21-17	55%from 49%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 55%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
outdoors + under this head coach	23-19	55%from 48%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 55%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
in November + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 48%	+2.1	11/17	n=17
on the road + in November	28-25	53%from 47%	+0.4	6/53	n=53
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 53%	-0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	-0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 53%	+0.2	6/9	n=9
+ outdoors	21-21	50%from 53%	+0.8	4/42	n=42
+ on grass	14-15	48%from 50%	+1.0	3/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 50%	-5.2	4/6	n=6
+ on grass	15-16	48%from 53%	+0.3	4/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 48%	-6.2	4/6	n=6
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.7	42/70	n=70
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	27-26	51%from 51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	5-5	50%from 48%	-3.9	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	-3.9	10/10	n=10
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	32-33	49%from 49%	+0.5	38/65	n=65

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-107	49%	-0.9	18/211	n=211
vs DEN	3-5	38%	-2.9	1/8	n=8
off a bye	21-26	45%	-3.5	2/47	n=47
in the Sunday early window	149-152	50%	-0.6	25/301	n=301
in November	48-50	49%	-0.7	8/98	n=98
outdoors	167-171	49%	-0.9	29/338	n=338
on grass	159-156	50%	-0.5	28/315	n=315
at this venue	103-107	49%	-0.9	17/210	n=210
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

68 lean CAR · 104 lean against

Read this first. 208 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in November + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 49%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
at home + under this head coach	11-7	61%from 49%	+0.5	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 61%	+0.5	18/18	n=18
at this venue + under this head coach	10-7	59%from 49%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 59%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	14-11	56%from 50%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 56%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
on grass + under this head coach	15-13	54%from 50%	-1.4	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-13	54%from 54%	-1.4	28/28	n=28
off a bye + in November	8-7	53%from 45%	-3.5	1/15	n=15
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 53%	-3.5	1/10	n=10
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 60%	-3.8	1/6	n=6
+ outdoors	8-6	57%from 53%	-3.4	1/14	n=14
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 57%	-3.5	1/10	n=10
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 57%	-3.8	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 53%	-3.8	1/6	n=6
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 49%	+0.7	8/19	n=19
outdoors + under this head coach	15-14	52%from 49%	-2.3	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-14	52%from 52%	-2.3	29/29	n=29
at home + in the last 5 seasons	21-21	50%from 49%	-0.1	18/42	n=42
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 45%	-0.8	2/8	n=8
outdoors + on grass	150-153	50%from 49%	-1.0	26/303	n=303
+ under this head coach	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.4	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.4	26/26	n=26
+ at this venue	103-107	49%from 50%	-0.9	17/210	n=210
+ under this head coach	10-7	59%from 49%	-0.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-21	49%from 49%	-0.4	17/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-33	43%from 50%	-2.5	26/58	n=58

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.