BUF at MIN—

ST Model BUF -1.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs MIN	4-3	57%	+2.7	2/7	n=7
on Monday night	9-10	47%	+3.7	13/19	n=19
in November	50-45	53%	-0.3	35/95	n=95
indoors	21-24	47%	-0.8	20/45	n=45
on turf	155-146	52%	+1.1	117/301	n=301
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

24 lean BUF · 23 lean against

Read this first. 68 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
indoors + under this head coach	12-8	60%from 47%	+3.4	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 60%	+0.4	11/11	n=11
in November + indoors	7-5	58%from 53%	+2.6	7/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 58%	+3.7	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 71%	+1.5	5/5	n=5
+ on turf	6-4	60%from 58%	+3.1	6/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 60%	+4.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 58%	+1.5	5/5	n=5
in November + on turf	39-29	57%from 53%	+1.4	27/68	n=68
+ under this head coach	15-12	56%from 57%	+0.4	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 56%	-0.8	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 57%	-0.8	16/16	n=16
vs MIN + on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	+2.7	2/7	n=7
on the road + under this head coach	42-35	55%from 52%	+2.3	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 55%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
in November + under this head coach	19-16	54%from 53%	-0.4	35/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 54%	-2.0	20/20	n=20
on turf + under this head coach	62-55	53%from 52%	+2.4	117/117	n=117
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 53%	+2.6	70/70	n=70
on the road + on turf	46-41	53%from 52%	+1.4	36/87	n=87
+ under this head coach	19-17	53%from 53%	+2.6	36/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 52%	+2.6	70/70	n=70

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

MIN — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

at home	114-98	54%	+1.1	35/212	n=212
vs BUF	3-4	43%	-2.7	1/7	n=7
on Monday night	14-21	40%	-4.7	6/35	n=35
in November	55-45	55%	+0.4	15/100	n=100
indoors	132-117	53%	+1.1	42/249	n=249
on turf	156-142	52%	+0.8	48/298	n=298
at this venue	43-39	52%	+1.0	34/82	n=82
under this head coach	34-31	52%	+0.3	65/65	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	43-39	52%	+0.2	65/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=424
MIN has covered 5 straight	n=5

MIN — combinations

49 lean MIN · 49 lean against

Read this first. 119 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + at this venue	4-2	67%from 40%	+3.1	3/6	n=6
on Monday night + indoors	9-6	60%from 40%	-0.9	4/15	n=15
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 60%	+3.1	3/6	n=6
+ on turf	9-5	64%from 60%	+0.5	3/14	n=14
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 64%	+3.1	3/6	n=6
in November + on turf	40-28	59%from 55%	+1.6	11/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 59%	-0.2	11/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 59%	-1.6	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.6	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 59%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 53%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
in November + indoors	31-22	58%from 55%	+1.8	8/53	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 58%	-0.6	8/10	n=10
+ on turf	31-22	58%from 58%	+1.8	8/53	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 58%	-0.6	8/10	n=10
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 58%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 58%	-2.4	8/8	n=8
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 58%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 53%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 58%	-2.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-2.4	8/8	n=8
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 55%	-0.5	15/19	n=19
at home + in November	28-21	57%from 54%	+1.5	7/49	n=49
+ on turf	28-21	57%from 57%	+1.5	7/49	n=49
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 57%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 57%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 57%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ indoors	24-20	55%from 57%	+1.5	7/44	n=44
+ on turf	24-20	55%from 55%	+1.5	7/44	n=44
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 55%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 55%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 57%	-0.7	7/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 53%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 57%	-3.5	7/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 57%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 43%	-4.6	7/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.