How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NE — the basics
455 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 127-93 | 58% | +3.3 | 9/220 | n=220 |
| vs MIA | 25-26 | 49% | +0.2 | 2/51 | n=51 |
| in a division game | 91-67 | 58% | +2.9 | 6/158 | n=158 |
| off a bye | 36-31 | 54% | +3.0 | 3/67 | n=67 |
| in the Sunday late window | 55-47 | 54% | +3.2 | 3/102 | n=102 |
| in November | 52-43 | 55% | +3.4 | 4/95 | n=95 |
| outdoors | 232-176 | 57% | +2.8 | 20/408 | n=408 |
| on grass | 103-88 | 54% | +1.2 | 6/191 | n=191 |
| at this venue | 9-16 | 36% | -2.4 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| under this head coach | 14-7 | 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-44 | 49% | +1.3 | 21/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NE — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game | n=455 |
| NE has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
NE — combinations
90 lean NE · 88 lean against
Read this first. 204 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 100% by chance alone, and about 1 perfect record — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in a division game + under this head coach | 5-1 | 83%from 58% | +8.4 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +8.4 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 7-2 | 78%from 58% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 54% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| in a division game + in November | 15-8 | 65%from 58% | +5.2 | 1/23 | n=23 |
| + outdoors | 15-8 | 65%from 65% | +5.2 | 1/23 | n=23 |
| + on grass | 4-3 | 57%from 65% | +1.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 4-3 | 57%from 65% | +1.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-7 | 65%from 57% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 65% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| on the road + off a bye | 19-11 | 63%from 58% | +5.5 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + in November | 6-3 | 67%from 63% | +9.6 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| + outdoors | 5-3 | 63%from 67% | +7.6 | 1/8 | n=8 |
| + outdoors | 12-9 | 57%from 63% | +5.0 | 1/21 | n=21 |
| + on grass | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | +2.3 | 0/12 | n=12 |
| + in the Sunday late window | 4-3 | 57%from 63% | +0.4 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | -1.2 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 3-3 | 50%from 57% | -2.2 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + on grass | 8-7 | 53%from 63% | +2.3 | 0/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-5 | 17%from 63% | -3.6 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| on the road + in a division game | 48-32 | 60%from 58% | +3.6 | 3/80 | n=80 |
| + off a bye | 7-2 | 78%from 60% | +10.6 | 0/9 | n=9 |
| + outdoors | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +10.6 | 0/9 | n=9 |
| + in November | 8-3 | 73%from 60% | +10.4 | 0/11 | n=11 |
| + outdoors | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +10.4 | 0/11 | n=11 |
| + outdoors | 46-32 | 59%from 60% | +3.3 | 3/78 | n=78 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 59% | -0.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + on grass | 12-16 | 43%from 59% | -0.5 | 1/28 | n=28 |
| + at this venue | 9-16 | 36%from 59% | -2.4 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the Sunday late window | 4-3 | 57%from 60% | +0.3 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | +0.3 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 60% | -0.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + on grass | 12-16 | 43%from 60% | -0.5 | 1/28 | n=28 |
| + at this venue | 9-16 | 36%from 43% | -2.4 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 43% | -7.1 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 9-16 | 36%from 60% | -2.4 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 36% | -7.1 | 1/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.