How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
KC — the basics
441 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 115-101 | 53% | +0.5 | 112/216 | n=216 |
| vs DEN | 25-26 | 49% | -0.5 | 26/51 | n=51 |
| in a division game | 79-78 | 50% | +0.7 | 77/157 | n=157 |
| in the Sunday late window | 60-53 | 53% | +1.7 | 65/113 | n=113 |
| in November | 38-61 | 38% | -1.5 | 47/99 | n=99 |
| outdoors | 202-193 | 51% | +1.0 | 203/395 | n=395 |
| on grass | 181-168 | 52% | +1.5 | 173/349 | n=349 |
| at this venue | 11-14 | 44% | -2.3 | 13/25 | n=25 |
| under this head coach | 122-112 | 52% | +1.8 | 234/234 | n=234 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 44-52 | 46% | -0.3 | 96/96 | n=96 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
KC — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game | n=441 |
KC — combinations
72 lean KC · 232 lean against
Read this first. 330 combinations shown. The best one here is 68%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the Sunday late window | 48-36 | 57%from 53% | +1.6 | 40/84 | n=84 |
| + under this head coach | 24-16 | 60%from 57% | +4.4 | 40/40 | n=40 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-10 | 41%from 60% | -0.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + outdoors | 43-29 | 60%from 57% | +1.8 | 29/72 | n=72 |
| + under this head coach | 19-10 | 66%from 60% | +6.0 | 29/29 | n=29 |
| + on grass | 37-24 | 61%from 60% | +2.5 | 25/61 | n=61 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-7 | 30%from 60% | -3.6 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + on grass | 39-28 | 58%from 57% | +2.4 | 30/67 | n=67 |
| + under this head coach | 20-10 | 67%from 58% | +6.1 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 58% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-6 | 40%from 58% | -2.0 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 57% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + under this head coach | 4-4 | 50%from 44% | -0.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-10 | 41%from 57% | -0.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + in November | 9-13 | 41%from 57% | -0.6 | 8/22 | n=22 |
| + on grass | 8-9 | 47%from 41% | +0.4 | 5/17 | n=17 |
| + outdoors | 8-12 | 40%from 41% | -0.4 | 6/20 | n=20 |
| + under this head coach | 3-5 | 38%from 41% | +2.5 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| in a division game + in the Sunday late window | 38-29 | 57%from 50% | +2.0 | 31/67 | n=67 |
| + under this head coach | 19-12 | 61%from 57% | +4.7 | 31/31 | n=31 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-7 | 30%from 61% | -4.8 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + outdoors | 36-25 | 59%from 57% | +2.3 | 25/61 | n=61 |
| + under this head coach | 17-8 | 68%from 59% | +6.0 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + on grass | 33-24 | 58%from 59% | +2.2 | 23/57 | n=57 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 59% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 59% | -10.0 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 34-26 | 57%from 57% | +2.1 | 26/60 | n=60 |
| + under this head coach | 17-9 | 65%from 57% | +5.3 | 26/26 | n=26 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 57% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-6 | 25%from 57% | -6.6 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in November | 7-8 | 47%from 57% | +1.0 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| + on grass | 7-8 | 47%from 47% | +1.0 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| + outdoors | 6-8 | 43%from 47% | +0.8 | 3/14 | n=14 |
| + at this venue | 8-10 | 44%from 57% | -2.8 | 8/18 | n=18 |
| + under this head coach | 4-4 | 50%from 44% | -0.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-7 | 30%from 57% | -4.8 | 10/10 | n=10 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.