How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
IND — the basics
437 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 119-98 | 55% | -0.1 | 25/217 | n=217 |
| vs JAX | 17-31 | 35% | -3.5 | 6/48 | n=48 |
| in a division game | 79-79 | 50% | +0.2 | 18/158 | n=158 |
| in the Sunday early window | 131-133 | 50% | +0.4 | 40/264 | n=264 |
| in November | 55-45 | 55% | +0.5 | 11/100 | n=100 |
| outdoors | 109-100 | 52% | -0.4 | 22/209 | n=209 |
| on grass | 78-69 | 53% | -0.8 | 14/147 | n=147 |
| at this venue | 9-14 | 39% | -6.4 | 3/23 | n=23 |
| under this head coach | 27-24 | 53% | +0.2 | 51/51 | n=51 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-42 | 51% | -0.5 | 51/85 | n=85 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
IND — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game | n=437 |
IND — combinations
85 lean IND · 151 lean against
Read this first. 259 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in November | 33-12 | 73%from 55% | +4.3 | 6/45 | n=45 |
| + outdoors | 25-9 | 74%from 73% | +4.5 | 5/34 | n=34 |
| + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 74% | +2.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 16-6 | 73%from 74% | +4.3 | 4/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 74% | +3.7 | 5/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 19-7 | 73%from 73% | +3.1 | 4/26 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +3.0 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 73% | +3.8 | 6/9 | n=9 |
| + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 73% | +1.5 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +1.5 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| in November + on grass | 19-8 | 70%from 55% | +3.0 | 5/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 70% | +2.4 | 5/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 70% | +1.0 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +1.0 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| in November + outdoors | 26-14 | 65%from 55% | +3.1 | 5/40 | n=40 |
| + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 65% | +2.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +2.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 16-6 | 73%from 65% | +4.3 | 4/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 65% | +3.7 | 5/7 | n=7 |
| in a division game + under this head coach | 11-7 | 61%from 50% | +0.4 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-7 | 61%from 61% | +0.4 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-9 | 59%from 52% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-9 | 59%from 59% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 14-10 | 58%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/24 | n=24 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 8-6 | 57%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.