ATL at TB—

ST Model TB -3.4

Since first recorded TB -4.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 34d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-106	50%	-0.2	23/212	n=212
vs TB	21-26	45%	-2.2	6/47	n=47
in a division game	74-83	47%	-0.8	17/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in November	47-52	47%	+0.1	11/99	n=99
outdoors	85-82	51%	+0.0	13/167	n=167
on grass	62-62	50%	+0.3	13/124	n=124
at this venue	11-11	50%	-2.1	3/22	n=22
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

85 lean ATL · 66 lean against

Read this first. 235 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 50%	+2.3	2/5	n=5
vs TB + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 45%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
vs TB + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 45%	+1.3	4/10	n=10
in November + under this head coach	6-5	55%from 47%	+0.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	-3.3	8/8	n=8
on the road + in November	27-23	54%from 50%	+2.1	7/50	n=50
+ outdoors	18-15	55%from 54%	+2.6	3/33	n=33
+ on grass	12-13	48%from 55%	+1.6	1/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 55%	-6.8	3/6	n=6
+ on grass	13-15	46%from 54%	+1.3	2/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 46%	-7.2	2/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 54%	-4.8	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 43%	-3.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 54%	-4.9	6/12	n=12
outdoors + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 51%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 50%	-3.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 54%	-3.9	11/11	n=11
outdoors + on grass	60-54	53%from 51%	+0.7	10/114	n=114
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 53%	-2.1	3/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 50%	+2.3	2/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 53%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-5.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 53%	-3.7	8/22	n=22
on the road + outdoors	77-70	52%from 50%	+0.4	13/147	n=147
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 52%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	59-54	52%from 52%	+0.7	10/113	n=113
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 52%	-2.1	3/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 52%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-12	43%from 52%	-4.0	8/21	n=21
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 52%	-2.1	3/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 50%	+2.3	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-15	46%from 52%	-3.4	10/28	n=28

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

at home	94-118	44%	-0.6	36/212	n=212
vs ATL	26-21	55%	+2.2	8/47	n=47
in a division game	74-85	47%	-0.2	24/159	n=159
in the Sunday early window	134-125	52%	+0.8	38/259	n=259
in November	55-43	56%	+1.0	13/98	n=98
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	92-115	44%	-0.6	35/207	n=207
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

58 lean TB · 197 lean against

Read this first. 305 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in November	8-4	67%from 55%	+5.1	0/12	n=12
vs ATL + in the Sunday early window	22-14	61%from 55%	+4.4	6/36	n=36
+ in November	8-3	73%from 61%	+6.5	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	7-7	50%from 61%	+3.6	3/14	n=14
+ at this venue	7-7	50%from 50%	+3.6	3/14	n=14
+ at this venue	7-7	50%from 61%	+3.6	3/14	n=14
+ outdoors	7-8	47%from 61%	+3.2	3/15	n=15
+ on grass	7-7	50%from 47%	+3.6	3/14	n=14
+ at this venue	7-7	50%from 47%	+3.6	3/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 61%	-1.7	6/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 61%	-2.3	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 33%	-2.3	6/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in November	41-30	58%from 52%	+2.0	10/71	n=71
+ at this venue	18-13	58%from 58%	+0.9	4/31	n=31
+ outdoors	30-23	57%from 58%	+1.6	8/53	n=53
+ at this venue	18-13	58%from 57%	+0.9	4/31	n=31
+ on grass	28-22	56%from 57%	+1.4	5/50	n=50
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 57%	+1.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 57%	-1.1	8/9	n=9
+ on grass	28-22	56%from 58%	+1.4	5/50	n=50
+ at this venue	18-13	58%from 56%	+0.9	4/31	n=31
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 56%	-0.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	-3.8	5/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 58%	-0.8	10/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 58%	+0.6	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+0.6	10/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.