SF at ATL—

ST Model SF -2.6

Since first recorded SF -4.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 34d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-109	50%	-0.6	83/217	n=217
vs ATL	8-8	50%	-3.3	4/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window	47-59	44%	-1.4	31/106	n=106
in October	50-56	47%	-1.1	40/106	n=106
on turf	56-54	51%	-0.7	39/110	n=110
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

20 lean SF · 30 lean against

Read this first. 60 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in October	3-2	60%from 50%	-7.4	2/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	-0.1	26/26	n=26
on turf + under this head coach	22-17	56%from 51%	+0.5	39/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 56%	-0.1	26/26	n=26
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 44%	+1.8	16/16	n=16
on the road + under this head coach	46-37	55%from 50%	+1.6	83/83	n=83
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-23	54%from 55%	+0.5	50/50	n=50
in October + on turf	11-9	55%from 47%	-1.1	8/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 55%	-3.1	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	3-5	38%from 55%	-3.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 38%	-3.1	7/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	17-14	55%from 44%	+2.2	31/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 55%	+1.8	16/16	n=16
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	27-23	54%from 50%	+0.5	50/50	n=50
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%from 51%	+0.6	96/96	n=96
on the road + on turf	56-52	52%from 50%	-0.5	38/108	n=108
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-10	60%from 52%	+0.7	25/25	n=25
+ under this head coach	22-16	58%from 52%	+1.0	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-10	60%from 58%	+0.7	25/25	n=25
on the road + in October	24-25	49%from 50%	-0.9	21/49	n=49
+ on turf	11-8	58%from 49%	-0.1	7/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 58%	-0.3	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 58%	-0.9	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	10-11	48%from 49%	+1.8	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 48%	+0.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 49%	+0.1	11/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs SF	8-8	50%	+3.3	1/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in October	45-56	45%	-2.1	10/101	n=101
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

9 lean ATL · 82 lean against

Read this first. 100 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + under this head coach	6-4	60%from 45%	-0.2	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 60%	-4.3	7/7	n=7
vs SF + in the Sunday early window	3-2	60%from 50%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
at home + vs SF	4-3	57%from 44%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	3-2	60%from 57%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
vs SF + on turf	4-3	57%from 50%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 45%	-2.3	7/21	n=21
in the Sunday early window + in October	33-38	46%from 45%	-2.4	5/71	n=71
+ on turf	22-31	42%from 46%	-2.4	4/53	n=53
+ at this venue	4-12	25%from 42%	-7.5	3/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-9	18%from 42%	-7.2	2/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 46%	-4.0	3/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 46%	-6.4	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-12	25%from 46%	-7.5	3/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 25%	-6.2	2/9	n=9
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	15-19	44%from 47%	-2.8	34/34	n=34
on turf + under this head coach	14-18	44%from 46%	+0.1	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-14	39%from 44%	-2.3	23/23	n=23
at home + on turf	93-120	44%from 44%	-1.1	22/213	n=213
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 44%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
+ at this venue	28-44	39%from 44%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 39%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 39%	-2.5	17/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 44%	-2.5	17/40	n=40

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.