How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NE — the basics
455 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 127-93 | 58% | +3.3 | 9/220 | n=220 |
| vs CHI | 4-4 | 50% | +5.1 | 0/8 | n=8 |
| on a short week | 11-7 | 61% | +2.8 | 1/18 | n=18 |
| on Thursday night | 12-10 | 55% | +0.8 | 1/22 | n=22 |
| in October | 68-38 | 64% | +3.8 | 4/106 | n=106 |
| outdoors | 232-176 | 57% | +2.8 | 20/408 | n=408 |
| on grass | 103-88 | 54% | +1.2 | 6/191 | n=191 |
| under this head coach | 14-7 | 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-44 | 49% | +1.3 | 21/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NE — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game | n=455 |
| NE has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
NE — combinations
53 lean NE · 1 lean against
Read this first. 67 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on a short week + in October | 4-1 | 80%from 61% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on Thursday night + in October | 4-1 | 80%from 55% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 7-2 | 78%from 58% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| on a short week + outdoors | 8-4 | 67%from 61% | +4.5 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 54% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-7 | 65%from 57% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 65% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| on the road + in October | 35-19 | 65%from 58% | +5.2 | 3/54 | n=54 |
| + outdoors | 28-15 | 65%from 65% | +5.3 | 2/43 | n=43 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 65% | +5.8 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 16-9 | 64%from 65% | +3.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + on grass | 16-10 | 62%from 65% | +3.5 | 1/26 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 62% | +4.5 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-5 | 58%from 65% | +1.3 | 3/12 | n=12 |
| in October + outdoors | 61-34 | 64%from 64% | +3.6 | 3/95 | n=95 |
| + on grass | 26-16 | 62%from 64% | +0.4 | 1/42 | n=42 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 62% | +5.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-7 | 61%from 64% | +3.0 | 3/18 | n=18 |
| on a short week + on Thursday night | 11-7 | 61%from 61% | +2.8 | 1/18 | n=18 |
| + in October | 4-1 | 80%from 61% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +4.6 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 8-4 | 67%from 61% | +4.5 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 61% | +1.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.