KC at SEA—

ST Model SEA -6.8

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-101	53%	+0.5	112/216	n=216
vs SEA	8-2	80%	+2.5	3/10	n=10
on Sunday night	25-22	53%	+0.5	41/47	n=47
in October	59-42	58%	+1.9	52/101	n=101
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on turf	43-49	47%	-1.5	61/92	n=92
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

43 lean KC · 32 lean against

Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs SEA + outdoors	8-2	80%from 80%	+2.5	3/10	n=10
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 80%	0.0	1/5	n=5
on the road + in October	29-19	60%from 53%	+0.8	26/48	n=48
+ on turf	10-5	67%from 60%	+1.2	9/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 67%	+2.9	9/9	n=9
+ outdoors	26-16	62%from 60%	+0.5	22/42	n=42
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 62%	-0.2	6/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	13-9	59%from 62%	+1.2	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 62%	-0.3	9/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	16-10	62%from 60%	+1.8	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 62%	-0.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 60%	-0.1	11/11	n=11
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 58%	+1.3	20/20	n=20
on the road + vs SEA	3-2	60%from 53%	0.0	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	0.0	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	0.0	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	0.0	1/5	n=5
vs SEA + on turf	3-2	60%from 80%	0.0	1/5	n=5
on Sunday night + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 53%	-0.4	22/22	n=22
in October + outdoors	56-39	59%from 58%	+1.9	48/95	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 59%	+1.3	18/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	27-21	56%from 59%	+1.4	48/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 56%	+1.3	18/18	n=18
+ on turf	8-8	50%from 59%	-2.6	11/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	4-7	36%from 50%	-3.2	11/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SEA — the basics

436 graded games since 1999

at home	117-100	54%	+1.6	19/217	n=217
vs KC	2-8	20%	-2.5	0/10	n=10
off a bye	24-28	46%	+0.8	8/52	n=52
on Sunday night	23-14	62%	+5.4	4/37	n=37
in October	42-54	44%	-0.8	7/96	n=96
outdoors	187-174	52%	+1.0	30/361	n=361
on turf	156-139	53%	+1.7	26/295	n=295
at this venue	110-91	55%	+1.6	19/201	n=201
under this head coach	21-16	57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	45-42	52%	+2.1	37/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SEA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +7.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 436 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=436
SEA has covered 5 straight	n=5

SEA — combinations

49 lean SEA · 103 lean against

Read this first. 165 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Sunday night + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 62%	+4.6	4/5	n=5
off a bye + under this head coach	6-2	75%from 46%	+11.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+11.9	8/8	n=8
on Sunday night + on turf	16-7	70%from 62%	+8.7	2/23	n=23
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 70%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
on Sunday night + at this venue	13-6	68%from 62%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
at home + on Sunday night	14-7	67%from 54%	+7.3	2/21	n=21
+ outdoors	14-6	70%from 67%	+7.8	2/20	n=20
+ on turf	14-6	70%from 70%	+7.8	2/20	n=20
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 70%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
+ on turf	14-6	70%from 67%	+7.8	2/20	n=20
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 70%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 67%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
+ in October	2-3	40%from 67%	+2.9	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	2-3	40%from 40%	+2.9	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 40%	+2.9	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 40%	+2.9	0/5	n=5
on Sunday night + outdoors	21-11	66%from 62%	+6.0	4/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 66%	+4.6	4/5	n=5
+ on turf	16-6	73%from 66%	+9.4	2/22	n=22
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 73%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
+ at this venue	13-6	68%from 66%	+7.5	2/19	n=19
in October + in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 44%	+4.0	7/20	n=20
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 46%	+5.8	8/13	n=13
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	21-16	57%from 57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.