DEN at ARI—

ST Model DEN -1

Since first recorded DEN -7.5o/u 43.5unchanged · 34d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	100-111	47%	-1.3	25/211	n=211
vs ARI	6-1	86%	+9.1	0/7	n=7
off a bye	40-17	70%	+2.6	8/57	n=57
in the Sunday late window	110-120	48%	-0.1	29/230	n=230
in October	50-53	49%	-1.3	12/103	n=103
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

45 lean DEN · 20 lean against

Read this first. 76 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 6.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + in October	13-1	93%from 70%	+3.3	2/14	n=14
+ on grass	11-1	92%from 93%	+3.5	2/12	n=12
off a bye + under this head coach	7-1	88%from 70%	+3.6	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 88%	+3.6	8/8	n=8
vs ARI + on grass	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.1	0/7	n=7
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	10-2	83%from 70%	+3.8	8/12	n=12
vs ARI + in the Sunday late window	4-1	80%from 86%	+3.5	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+3.5	0/5	n=5
off a bye + in the Sunday late window	18-5	78%from 70%	+4.4	5/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-0	100%from 78%	+6.2	5/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 78%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 100%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	17-4	81%from 78%	+5.3	5/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-0	100%from 81%	+6.2	5/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 81%	+4.6	5/5	n=5
on the road + off a bye	20-8	71%from 47%	+3.6	2/28	n=28
+ in October	5-0	100%from 71%	+4.2	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	6-2	75%from 71%	+3.0	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 75%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	11-6	65%from 71%	+3.6	1/17	n=17
off a bye + on grass	31-14	69%from 70%	+3.2	7/45	n=45
+ under this head coach	6-1	86%from 69%	+2.7	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 86%	+2.7	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 69%	+3.5	7/10	n=10
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	17-12	59%from 48%	+4.0	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-12	59%from 59%	+4.0	29/29	n=29

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

at home	105-109	49%	-0.6	25/214	n=214
vs DEN	1-6	14%	-9.1	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday late window	125-121	51%	-0.1	32/246	n=246
in October	51-51	50%	-0.3	12/102	n=102
on grass	157-156	50%	-0.7	35/313	n=313
at this venue	81-83	49%	-0.5	25/164	n=164
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

42 lean ARI · 46 lean against

Read this first. 100 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	+1.0	12/22	n=22
in October + at this venue	23-16	59%from 50%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
at home + in October	30-21	59%from 49%	+1.4	5/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	23-16	59%from 59%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	30-21	59%from 59%	+1.4	5/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	23-16	59%from 59%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
in October + on grass	41-36	53%from 50%	-0.1	9/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 53%	+1.5	9/16	n=16
+ at this venue	23-16	59%from 53%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 53%	-1.9	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 56%	-1.9	9/9	n=9
in the Sunday late window + at this venue	70-62	53%from 51%	+0.2	23/132	n=132
+ under this head coach	11-12	48%from 53%	+0.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-12	48%from 48%	+0.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-18	45%from 53%	-2.0	23/33	n=33

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.