SEA at DEN—

ST Model SEA -3.5

Since first recorded SEA -1.51 → SEAo/u 43.5flat41d ago · 2 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SEA — the basics

436 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-113	48%	+0.6	18/219	n=219
vs DEN	6-5	55%	+3.0	1/11	n=11
on a short week	8-9	47%	+0.0	4/17	n=17
on Thursday night	10-9	53%	+1.0	4/19	n=19
in October	42-54	44%	-0.8	7/96	n=96
outdoors	187-174	52%	+1.0	30/361	n=361
on grass	67-74	48%	-0.1	11/141	n=141
under this head coach	21-16	57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	45-42	52%	+2.1	37/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SEA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +7.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 436 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=436
SEA has covered 5 straight	n=5

SEA — combinations

44 lean SEA · 24 lean against

Read this first. 80 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on a short week + on grass	5-1	83%from 47%	+6.0	2/6	n=6
on Thursday night + on grass	5-1	83%from 53%	+6.0	2/6	n=6
on grass + under this head coach	9-2	82%from 48%	+8.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+8.5	11/11	n=11
on the road + on Thursday night	6-2	75%from 48%	+3.3	2/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 75%	+6.0	2/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 75%	+2.8	1/5	n=5
on the road + under this head coach	13-5	72%from 48%	+7.3	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 72%	+7.3	18/18	n=18
on the road + on a short week	5-2	71%from 48%	+3.2	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 71%	+6.0	2/6	n=6
+ on Thursday night	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 71%	+6.0	2/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 71%	+2.8	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 71%	+2.8	1/5	n=5
in October + in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 44%	+4.0	7/20	n=20
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 48%	+2.8	11/23	n=23
on the road + vs DEN	3-2	60%from 48%	+5.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+5.3	0/5	n=5
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	26-18	59%from 48%	+3.5	18/44	n=44
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	21-16	57%from 57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37
in October + on grass	16-13	55%from 44%	-1.4	1/29	n=29
vs DEN + outdoors	6-5	55%from 55%	+3.0	1/11	n=11
outdoors + under this head coach	16-14	53%from 52%	+3.9	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-14	53%from 53%	+3.9	30/30	n=30

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-112	48%	-0.0	28/216	n=216
vs SEA	5-6	45%	-3.0	1/11	n=11
on a short week	11-12	48%	+1.3	5/23	n=23
on Thursday night	13-12	52%	+2.0	5/25	n=25
in October	50-53	49%	-1.3	12/103	n=103
outdoors	185-197	48%	-0.5	42/382	n=382
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
at this venue	100-107	48%	-0.1	28/207	n=207
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

65 lean DEN · 94 lean against

Read this first. 171 combinations shown. The best one here is 65%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
at this venue + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
in October + under this head coach	7-5	58%from 49%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
at home + in the last 5 seasons	25-20	56%from 48%	+2.1	28/45	n=45
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	25-20	56%from 48%	+2.1	28/45	n=45
at home + on Thursday night	5-4	56%from 48%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ outdoors	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
on Thursday night + at this venue	5-4	56%from 52%	+0.8	1/9	n=9
on grass + under this head coach	21-17	55%from 49%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 55%	+1.7	38/38	n=38
outdoors + under this head coach	23-19	55%from 48%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 55%	+1.5	42/42	n=42
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.7	42/70	n=70
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	27-26	51%from 51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in October + on grass	43-43	50%from 49%	-0.5	11/86	n=86
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 50%	+2.9	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	+2.9	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	25-29	46%from 50%	-2.2	8/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	5-3	63%from 46%	+3.8	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 46%	-0.8	8/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-12	37%from 50%	-1.4	11/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.