NYJ at NE—

ST Model NE -9.7

Since first recorded NE -9.5o/u 42.5unchanged · 34d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-116	45%	-1.4	8/211	n=211
vs NE	21-31	40%	-3.2	2/52	n=52
in a division game	73-84	47%	-1.4	6/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in October	49-52	49%	-1.4	4/101	n=101
outdoors	179-208	46%	-1.0	16/387	n=387
on turf	127-148	46%	-0.8	12/275	n=275
at this venue	10-14	42%	-2.5	1/24	n=24
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

29 lean NYJ · 198 lean against

Read this first. 253 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 49%	+1.4	4/21	n=21
in a division game + in October	16-14	53%from 47%	-0.8	0/30	n=30
+ outdoors	16-14	53%from 53%	-0.8	0/30	n=30
+ on turf	12-12	50%from 53%	-1.8	0/24	n=24
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 53%	-4.4	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	12-12	50%from 53%	-1.8	0/24	n=24
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 50%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 50%	-4.4	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 53%	-4.4	0/5	n=5
in October + on turf	34-31	52%from 49%	-0.9	3/65	n=65
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 52%	+0.5	3/13	n=13
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 52%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + in October	28-27	51%from 49%	-1.1	4/55	n=55
+ on turf	21-17	55%from 51%	-0.9	3/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 55%	-1.7	3/9	n=9
+ outdoors	28-27	51%from 51%	-1.1	4/55	n=55
+ on turf	21-17	55%from 51%	-0.9	3/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 51%	+1.0	4/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 51%	+1.0	4/14	n=14
on the road + in a division game	40-39	51%from 45%	-0.4	3/79	n=79
+ in October	8-6	57%from 51%	-0.4	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	8-6	57%from 57%	-0.4	0/14	n=14
+ on turf	5-4	56%from 57%	-1.8	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 57%	-6.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	24-23	51%from 51%	+0.2	0/47	n=47
+ in October	3-2	60%from 51%	-2.9	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	24-23	51%from 51%	+0.2	0/47	n=47
+ on turf	11-14	44%from 51%	-2.2	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 51%	-6.5	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-8	33%from 51%	-4.2	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	38-37	51%from 51%	-0.0	3/75	n=75
+ on turf	18-24	43%from 51%	-2.8	2/42	n=42
+ at this venue	10-14	42%from 51%	-2.5	1/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-11	27%from 51%	-6.8	3/15	n=15
+ on turf	20-26	43%from 51%	-3.2	2/46	n=46
+ at this venue	7-11	39%from 43%	-4.3	1/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-8	20%from 43%	-7.9	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	10-14	42%from 51%	-2.5	1/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 42%	-6.3	1/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-11	27%from 51%	-6.8	3/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NE — the basics

455 graded games since 1999

at home	130-105	55%	+2.3	12/235	n=235
vs NYJ	31-21	60%	+3.2	2/52	n=52
in a division game	91-67	58%	+2.9	6/158	n=158
in the Sunday early window	125-91	58%	+3.0	12/216	n=216
in October	68-38	64%	+3.8	4/106	n=106
outdoors	232-176	57%	+2.8	20/408	n=408
on turf	154-110	58%	+3.9	15/264	n=264
at this venue	119-93	56%	+2.5	11/212	n=212
under this head coach	14-7	67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
in the last 5 seasons	43-44	49%	+1.3	21/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=455
NE has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

NE — combinations

234 lean NE · 37 lean against

Read this first. 291 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	5-1	83%from 58%	+8.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+8.4	6/6	n=6
vs NYJ + in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 60%	+5.5	2/10	n=10
in the Sunday early window + in October	37-17	69%from 58%	+3.5	3/54	n=54
+ on turf	21-10	68%from 69%	+5.0	2/31	n=31
+ at this venue	11-6	65%from 68%	+3.0	1/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 68%	+3.6	2/11	n=11
+ outdoors	33-16	67%from 69%	+3.2	2/49	n=49
+ on turf	17-9	65%from 67%	+4.5	1/26	n=26
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 67%	+0.5	1/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 67%	+4.9	2/13	n=13
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 69%	+0.5	1/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 65%	+5.1	1/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 69%	+4.1	3/15	n=15
in October + on turf	42-21	67%from 64%	+6.0	3/63	n=63
+ at this venue	23-12	66%from 67%	+5.5	1/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 66%	+1.2	1/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 67%	+0.1	3/17	n=17
in a division game + in October	22-11	67%from 58%	+5.2	1/33	n=33
+ on turf	16-6	73%from 67%	+7.3	1/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 73%	+10.8	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 73%	+4.3	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 67%	+8.4	1/7	n=7
+ outdoors	20-11	65%from 67%	+4.5	1/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 65%	+8.4	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	14-6	70%from 65%	+6.4	1/20	n=20
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 65%	+3.5	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 67%	+3.5	0/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.