LAC at KC—

ST Model KC -4

Since first recorded KC -2.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 34d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	118-94	56%	+1.1	19/212	n=212
vs KC	26-25	51%	-1.3	4/51	n=51
in a division game	81-72	53%	-0.1	12/153	n=153
in the Sunday late window	106-117	48%	-0.5	12/223	n=223
in October	50-49	51%	+1.6	7/99	n=99
outdoors	171-168	50%	+0.8	13/339	n=339
on grass	154-149	51%	+0.7	13/303	n=303
at this venue	14-11	56%	-0.3	2/25	n=25
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

123 lean LAC · 57 lean against

Read this first. 200 combinations shown. The best one here is 92%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	11-1	92%from 53%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 92%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+3.3	2/5	n=5
vs KC + in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 51%	+2.1	4/10	n=10
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 48%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 53%	-0.2	12/29	n=29
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
on the road + in a division game	44-31	59%from 56%	+0.7	6/75	n=75
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 59%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday late window	24-15	62%from 59%	+1.6	3/39	n=39
+ outdoors	23-14	62%from 62%	+1.6	2/37	n=37
+ on grass	22-15	59%from 62%	+1.4	3/37	n=37
+ in October	7-5	58%from 62%	+2.5	1/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 62%	-2.7	3/8	n=8
+ outdoors	41-28	59%from 59%	+1.2	4/69	n=69
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 59%	+0.1	4/10	n=10
+ on grass	39-28	58%from 59%	+1.0	4/67	n=67
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 59%	-0.3	2/25	n=25
+ on grass	42-31	58%from 59%	+0.6	6/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 58%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	13-11	54%from 58%	-0.8	2/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 58%	-2.3	6/15	n=15
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 59%	-0.3	2/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+3.3	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 59%	-2.3	6/15	n=15
+ in October	8-9	47%from 59%	+1.1	1/17	n=17
+ outdoors	8-9	47%from 47%	+1.1	1/17	n=17
+ on grass	8-9	47%from 47%	+1.1	1/17	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

at home	109-116	48%	+1.2	122/225	n=225
vs LAC	25-26	49%	+1.3	25/51	n=51
in a division game	79-78	50%	+0.7	77/157	n=157
off a bye	27-33	45%	+0.1	41/60	n=60
in the Sunday late window	60-53	53%	+1.7	65/113	n=113
in October	59-42	58%	+1.9	52/101	n=101
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on grass	181-168	52%	+1.5	173/349	n=349
at this venue	105-116	48%	+1.0	118/221	n=221
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

168 lean KC · 236 lean against

Read this first. 430 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LAC + in October	5-2	71%from 49%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
in a division game + in October	19-12	61%from 50%	+2.1	16/31	n=31
+ outdoors	19-11	63%from 61%	+2.3	15/30	n=30
+ under this head coach	10-5	67%from 63%	+3.2	15/15	n=15
+ on grass	18-10	64%from 63%	+3.1	14/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	-0.4	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	9-7	56%from 63%	-0.1	8/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	10-6	63%from 61%	+2.9	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 63%	-0.7	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	18-11	62%from 61%	+2.9	15/29	n=29
+ under this head coach	10-5	67%from 62%	+4.4	15/15	n=15
+ at this venue	9-6	60%from 62%	+1.2	7/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 62%	-0.7	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	9-7	56%from 61%	-0.1	8/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	5-3	63%from 56%	+1.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 61%	-0.7	6/6	n=6
off a bye + in the Sunday late window	12-8	60%from 45%	+4.3	15/20	n=20
+ in October	5-1	83%from 60%	+10.4	4/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+10.4	4/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+10.4	4/6	n=6
+ outdoors	12-6	67%from 60%	+5.4	13/18	n=18
+ on grass	10-5	67%from 67%	+4.7	10/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 67%	+4.5	13/13	n=13
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 67%	+4.9	6/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.5	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	10-6	63%from 60%	+4.0	11/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 63%	+2.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 63%	-1.2	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 60%	+4.9	6/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 57%	+7.6	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	8-7	53%from 60%	+3.1	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 53%	-1.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 60%	-1.2	7/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.