TB at DALDAL -3.5o/u 52.5

ST Model DAL -0.3(-3.2 vs market)

Since first recorded DAL -3.5o/u 52.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-107	50%	+0.6	35/213	n=213
vs DAL	6-8	43%	-2.1	3/14	n=14
as an underdog	108-105	51%	+0.5	31/213	n=213
spread 3.5-6.5	65-85	43%	+0.1	30/150	n=150
on a short week	3-11	21%	-4.6	4/14	n=14
on Thursday night	3-13	19%	-5.9	4/16	n=16
in October	38-60	39%	-0.4	17/98	n=98
on turf	60-57	51%	+1.4	25/117	n=117
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

50 lean TB · 77 lean against

Read this first. 142 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on turf + under this head coach	17-8	68%from 51%	+4.5	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+4.5	25/25	n=25
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	19-12	61%from 51%	+2.6	25/31	n=31
on the road + under this head coach	19-16	54%from 50%	+0.8	35/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 54%	+0.8	35/35	n=35
on the road + as an underdog	77-66	54%from 50%	+1.1	20/143	n=143
+ under this head coach	12-8	60%from 54%	+1.5	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 60%	+1.5	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 54%	+1.5	20/20	n=20
+ on turf	42-41	51%from 54%	+1.1	16/83	n=83
+ under this head coach	9-7	56%from 51%	+2.1	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 51%	+2.1	16/16	n=16
+ spread 3.5-6.5	25-25	50%from 54%	+1.4	9/50	n=50
+ in October	7-3	70%from 50%	+6.0	3/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-5	44%from 50%	+0.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 50%	+0.4	9/9	n=9
+ on turf	13-17	43%from 50%	+0.0	7/30	n=30
+ in October	16-16	50%from 54%	+1.1	5/32	n=32
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 50%	+3.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+3.8	5/5	n=5
+ on turf	10-12	45%from 50%	+1.9	5/22	n=22
+ on a short week	3-4	43%from 54%	-3.0	2/7	n=7
+ on Thursday night	3-4	43%from 43%	-3.0	2/7	n=7
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 43%	-5.6	2/6	n=6
+ on Thursday night	3-4	43%from 54%	-3.0	2/7	n=7
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 43%	-5.6	2/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DAL — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

at home	104-109	49%	-0.3	8/213	n=213
vs TB	8-6	57%	+2.1	0/14	n=14
as a favorite	113-133	46%	-0.4	10/246	n=246
spread 3.5-6.5	75-75	50%	-0.2	7/150	n=150
on a short week	12-16	43%	-2.5	2/28	n=28
on Thursday night	19-20	49%	-0.8	4/39	n=39
in October	50-49	51%	+0.8	4/99	n=99
on turf	142-152	48%	-0.4	11/294	n=294
at this venue	66-76	46%	+0.2	8/142	n=142
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-2.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	47-41	53%	+1.3	17/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=424
DAL has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

DAL — combinations

65 lean DAL · 106 lean against

Read this first. 223 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 81% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 51%	+4.1	4/20	n=20
vs TB + as a favorite	5-3	63%from 57%	+5.4	0/8	n=8
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	35-25	58%from 48%	+2.5	11/60	n=60
at home + vs TB	4-3	57%from 49%	+2.1	0/7	n=7
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	+2.1	0/7	n=7
vs TB + on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	+2.1	0/7	n=7
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	30-23	57%from 46%	+3.0	10/53	n=53
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 49%	+1.4	8/44	n=44
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 46%	+1.4	8/44	n=44
spread 3.5-6.5 + on Thursday night	6-5	55%from 50%	-0.5	2/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 55%	+0.4	2/5	n=5
+ on turf	5-5	50%from 55%	-1.4	2/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+0.4	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 55%	-3.0	1/6	n=6
in October + on turf	38-33	54%from 51%	+1.4	2/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-1	93%from 54%	+9.3	2/14	n=14
+ at this venue	17-16	52%from 54%	+0.6	1/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-1	89%from 52%	+9.3	1/9	n=9
in October + at this venue	17-16	52%from 51%	+0.6	1/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-1	89%from 52%	+9.3	1/9	n=9
as a favorite + spread 3.5-6.5	43-43	50%from 46%	+0.5	4/86	n=86
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	+3.2	4/22	n=22
+ on Thursday night	4-4	50%from 50%	-0.3	0/8	n=8
+ on turf	3-4	43%from 50%	-1.7	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	21-25	46%from 50%	-0.0	3/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 46%	+0.9	3/13	n=13
+ on turf	31-37	46%from 50%	-0.7	3/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 46%	+3.2	3/17	n=17
+ at this venue	21-25	46%from 46%	-0.0	3/46	n=46
+ in October	9-11	45%from 50%	-1.4	0/20	n=20
+ at this venue	7-7	50%from 45%	-0.9	0/14	n=14
+ on turf	8-10	44%from 45%	-2.3	0/18	n=18
+ on a short week	2-4	33%from 50%	-2.7	0/6	n=6
+ on Thursday night	2-4	33%from 33%	-2.7	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 33%	-2.7	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.