SF at SEASEA -3.5o/u 48.5
ST Model SEA -5.1(+1.6 vs market)
Since first recorded SEA -3.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 5
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
SF — the basics
434 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 108-109 | 50% | -0.6 | 83/217 | n=217 |
| vs SEA | 21-29 | 42% | -3.7 | 20/50 | n=50 |
| as an underdog | 98-106 | 48% | -1.3 | 58/204 | n=204 |
| spread 3.5-6.5 | 86-69 | 55% | +1.8 | 62/155 | n=155 |
| in a division game | 79-81 | 49% | +0.3 | 56/160 | n=160 |
| in the Sunday late window | 106-110 | 49% | -0.2 | 78/216 | n=216 |
| in October | 50-56 | 47% | -1.1 | 40/106 | n=106 |
| outdoors | 174-181 | 49% | -0.1 | 130/355 | n=355 |
| on turf | 56-54 | 51% | -0.7 | 39/110 | n=110 |
| at this venue | 11-14 | 44% | -5.8 | 10/25 | n=25 |
| under this head coach | 83-79 | 51% | +0.8 | 162/162 | n=162 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 51-45 | 53% | +0.6 | 96/96 | n=96 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
SF — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=434 |
SF — combinations
232 lean SF · 275 lean against
Read this first. 568 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread 3.5-6.5 + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 55% | -1.4 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 44% | -2.1 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| spread 3.5-6.5 + in October | 19-12 | 61%from 55% | +2.5 | 14/31 | n=31 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 61% | +3.1 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 16-11 | 59%from 61% | +2.0 | 12/27 | n=27 |
| + under this head coach | 7-5 | 58%from 59% | +2.9 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 59% | +0.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + under this head coach | 8-6 | 57%from 61% | +2.6 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 57% | +0.1 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 61% | +0.1 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| at this venue + under this head coach | 6-4 | 60%from 44% | -2.6 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 60% | -2.1 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 51% | -0.1 | 26/26 | n=26 |
| spread 3.5-6.5 + in the Sunday late window | 43-32 | 57%from 55% | +2.0 | 28/75 | n=75 |
| + on turf | 5-1 | 83%from 57% | +2.8 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 36-28 | 56%from 57% | +2.2 | 22/64 | n=64 |
| + under this head coach | 9-13 | 41%from 56% | -0.5 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-8 | 38%from 56% | -2.6 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in October | 9-7 | 56%from 57% | +0.9 | 7/16 | n=16 |
| + outdoors | 8-6 | 57%from 56% | +0.8 | 5/14 | n=14 |
| + under this head coach | 3-4 | 43%from 56% | +0.4 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + under this head coach | 12-16 | 43%from 57% | -0.4 | 28/28 | n=28 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 43% | -2.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 57% | -2.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 22-17 | 56%from 51% | +0.5 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 56% | -0.1 | 26/26 | n=26 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.