SF at SEASEA -3.5o/u 48.5

ST Model SEA -5.1(+1.6 vs market)
Since first recorded SEA -3.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 5
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
SF — the basics
434 graded games since 1999
on the road108-10950%-0.683/217n=217
vs SEA21-2942%-3.720/50n=50
as an underdog98-10648%-1.358/204n=204
spread 3.5-6.586-6955%+1.862/155n=155
in a division game79-8149%+0.356/160n=160
in the Sunday late window106-11049%-0.278/216n=216
in October50-5647%-1.140/106n=106
outdoors174-18149%-0.1130/355n=355
on turf56-5451%-0.739/110n=110
at this venue11-1444%-5.810/25n=25
under this head coach83-7951%+0.8162/162n=162
in the last 5 seasons51-4553%+0.696/96n=96
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
SF — form & streaks
Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per gamen=434
SF — combinations
232 lean SF · 275 lean against
Read this first. 568 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
spread 3.5-6.5 + at this venue4-267%from 55%-1.43/6n=6
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons4-267%from 44%-2.16/6n=6
spread 3.5-6.5 + in October19-1261%from 55%+2.514/31n=31
+ on turf4-180%from 61%+3.12/5n=5
+ outdoors16-1159%from 61%+2.012/27n=27
+ under this head coach7-558%from 59%+2.912/12n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 59%+0.29/9n=9
+ under this head coach8-657%from 61%+2.614/14n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 57%+0.110/10n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 61%+0.110/10n=10
at this venue + under this head coach6-460%from 44%-2.610/10n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons4-267%from 60%-2.16/6n=6
on turf + in the last 5 seasons15-1158%from 51%-0.126/26n=26
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the Sunday late window43-3257%from 55%+2.028/75n=75
+ on turf5-183%from 57%+2.82/6n=6
+ outdoors36-2856%from 57%+2.222/64n=64
+ under this head coach9-1341%from 56%-0.522/22n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons5-838%from 56%-2.613/13n=13
+ in October9-756%from 57%+0.97/16n=16
+ outdoors8-657%from 56%+0.85/14n=14
+ under this head coach3-443%from 56%+0.47/7n=7
+ under this head coach12-1643%from 57%-0.428/28n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons6-1135%from 43%-2.817/17n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons6-1135%from 57%-2.817/17n=17
on turf + under this head coach22-1756%from 51%+0.539/39n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons15-1158%from 56%-0.126/26n=26
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.