PHI at JAXPHI -1.5o/u 44.5

ST Model JAX -4.1(+5.6 vs market)

Since first recorded PHI -1.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 49d ago · 5 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PHI — the basics

449 graded games since 1999

on the road	121-101	55%	+1.6	44/222	n=222
vs JAX	4-3	57%	+1.3	2/7	n=7
as a favorite	155-147	51%	+1.2	71/302	n=302
spread 1-2.5	55-31	64%	+4.0	21/86	n=86
in the Sunday early window	101-96	51%	+1.3	37/197	n=197
in October	54-46	54%	+1.1	20/100	n=100
outdoors	208-178	54%	+1.4	75/386	n=386
on grass	156-151	51%	+0.8	64/307	n=307
under this head coach	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92
in the last 5 seasons	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PHI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 449 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=449
PHI has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

PHI — combinations

193 lean PHI · 28 lean against

Read this first. 242 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + in October	15-5	75%from 64%	+7.8	4/20	n=20
+ outdoors	13-3	81%from 75%	+9.9	2/16	n=16
+ on grass	9-1	90%from 81%	+9.6	1/10	n=10
+ on grass	9-3	75%from 75%	+6.9	2/12	n=12
as a favorite + spread 1-2.5	35-14	71%from 51%	+5.4	12/49	n=49
+ on grass	27-7	79%from 71%	+7.4	9/34	n=34
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 79%	+0.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 79%	+0.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	14-4	78%from 71%	+3.2	3/18	n=18
+ in October	4-1	80%from 78%	+4.9	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	11-3	79%from 78%	+4.2	2/14	n=14
+ outdoors	12-4	75%from 78%	+2.8	2/16	n=16
+ in October	7-2	78%from 71%	+8.4	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 78%	+9.9	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 78%	+9.0	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	32-10	76%from 71%	+6.3	9/42	n=42
+ on grass	26-6	81%from 76%	+7.8	8/32	n=32
+ under this head coach	7-2	78%from 76%	+1.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 76%	+1.2	9/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	8-4	67%from 71%	+0.5	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+0.5	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 71%	+0.5	12/12	n=12
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	15-6	71%from 64%	+3.6	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 71%	+3.6	21/21	n=21
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 64%	+3.6	21/21	n=21

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

at home	96-113	46%	-0.3	10/209	n=209
vs PHI	3-4	43%	-1.3	0/7	n=7
as an underdog	135-135	50%	-0.7	8/270	n=270
spread 1-2.5	37-47	44%	-1.4	7/84	n=84
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in October	41-60	41%	-2.9	3/101	n=101
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	90-108	45%	-0.5	10/198	n=198
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

136 lean JAX · 162 lean against

Read this first. 324 combinations shown. The best one here is 77%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 46%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
at this venue + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
as an underdog + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+6.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+6.5	8/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	30-25	55%from 50%	+0.3	8/55	n=55
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	33-28	54%from 47%	+1.3	15/61	n=61
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-21	53%from 46%	+1.7	10/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	35-32	52%from 48%	+0.4	13/67	n=67
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.5	14/70	n=70
spread 1-2.5 + at this venue	19-18	51%from 44%	+0.5	4/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 51%	+3.6	4/8	n=8
at home + spread 1-2.5	21-20	51%from 46%	-0.1	4/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 51%	+3.0	4/10	n=10
+ on grass	21-19	53%from 51%	+0.0	4/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 53%	+3.8	4/9	n=9
+ at this venue	19-18	51%from 53%	+0.5	4/37	n=37
+ at this venue	19-18	51%from 51%	+0.5	4/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 51%	+3.6	4/8	n=8
+ outdoors	21-20	51%from 51%	-0.1	4/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 51%	+3.0	4/10	n=10
+ on grass	21-19	53%from 51%	+0.0	4/40	n=40
+ at this venue	19-18	51%from 51%	+0.5	4/37	n=37
+ in the Sunday early window	15-15	50%from 51%	-0.1	4/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	+2.9	4/9	n=9
+ on grass	15-14	52%from 50%	+0.0	4/29	n=29
+ outdoors	15-15	50%from 50%	-0.1	4/30	n=30
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 50%	+0.7	4/26	n=26
+ in October	3-6	33%from 50%	-5.1	1/9	n=9
+ in October	3-8	27%from 51%	-5.9	1/11	n=11
+ on grass	3-7	30%from 27%	-6.0	1/10	n=10
+ outdoors	3-8	27%from 27%	-5.9	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	1-7	13%from 27%	-8.4	1/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.