MIN at NOMIN -1.5o/u 44.5

ST Model MIN -4.4(-2.9 vs market)

Since first recorded MIN -1.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIN — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	104-108	49%	-1.3	30/212	n=212
vs NO	9-8	53%	+1.5	2/17	n=17
as a favorite	113-112	50%	-0.6	39/225	n=225
spread 1-2.5	55-51	52%	-0.5	24/106	n=106
in the Sunday early window	144-123	54%	+1.0	39/267	n=267
in October	49-48	51%	-1.4	15/97	n=97
indoors	132-117	53%	+1.1	42/249	n=249
on turf	156-142	52%	+0.8	48/298	n=298
at this venue	5-4	56%	+0.9	0/9	n=9
under this head coach	34-31	52%	+0.3	65/65	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	43-39	52%	+0.2	65/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=424
MIN has covered 5 straight	n=5

MIN — combinations

154 lean MIN · 79 lean against

Read this first. 262 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs NO + as a favorite	4-2	67%from 53%	+5.4	1/6	n=6
+ indoors	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 67%	+5.4	1/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	23-16	59%from 54%	+4.2	39/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-16	59%from 59%	+4.2	39/39	n=39
as a favorite + in October	33-24	58%from 50%	-0.3	11/57	n=57
+ under this head coach	7-4	64%from 58%	+1.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+1.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 58%	-0.0	11/14	n=14
+ on turf	23-19	55%from 58%	-0.2	5/42	n=42
+ under this head coach	1-4	20%from 55%	-3.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-6	14%from 55%	-4.6	5/7	n=7
+ indoors	20-17	54%from 58%	-0.7	4/37	n=37
+ on turf	20-17	54%from 54%	-0.7	4/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-5	17%from 54%	-5.3	4/6	n=6
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 52%	+0.4	24/28	n=28
on the road + under this head coach	17-13	57%from 49%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-13	57%from 57%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 49%	-1.6	30/39	n=39
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	27-21	56%from 54%	+3.2	39/48	n=48
vs NO + indoors	9-7	56%from 53%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ on turf	9-7	56%from 56%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.9	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.9	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

at home	102-117	47%	-0.3	8/219	n=219
vs MIN	8-9	47%	-1.5	0/17	n=17
as an underdog	95-83	53%	+0.8	13/178	n=178
spread 1-2.5	51-47	52%	+0.3	4/98	n=98
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in October	60-42	59%	+1.6	4/102	n=102
indoors	128-144	47%	-0.5	10/272	n=272
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	97-111	47%	-0.3	8/208	n=208
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

96 lean NO · 207 lean against

Read this first. 339 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + in October	20-7	74%from 52%	+5.3	1/27	n=27
+ indoors	12-4	75%from 74%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ on turf	12-4	75%from 75%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 75%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 75%	+0.9	1/6	n=6
+ on turf	13-5	72%from 74%	+5.3	1/18	n=18
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 72%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 72%	+6.0	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 74%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 74%	+5.0	1/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
in the Sunday early window + in October	40-26	61%from 52%	+1.4	3/66	n=66
+ on turf	28-20	58%from 61%	+1.6	2/48	n=48
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 58%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 58%	+1.3	2/12	n=12
+ indoors	25-20	56%from 61%	+0.6	2/45	n=45
+ on turf	25-20	56%from 56%	+0.6	2/45	n=45
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 56%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 56%	-2.1	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 61%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 50%	-2.7	2/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 61%	+1.2	3/14	n=14
as an underdog + in October	24-16	60%from 53%	+1.4	3/40	n=40
+ on turf	14-9	61%from 60%	+3.6	2/23	n=23
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 61%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 61%	+0.5	2/10	n=10
+ indoors	10-8	56%from 60%	+1.0	2/18	n=18
+ on turf	10-8	56%from 56%	+1.0	2/18	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 56%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 56%	-4.1	2/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.1	2/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-9	31%from 60%	-1.2	3/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.