LV at NENE -8.5o/u 44.5

ST Model NE -7.2(-1.3 vs market)

Since first recorded NE -8.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	102-106	49%	-1.7	0/208	n=208
vs NE	5-5	50%	-2.7	0/10	n=10
as an underdog	134-142	49%	-1.4	0/276	n=276
spread 7-9.5	41-40	51%	-0.0	0/81	n=81
in the Sunday early window	51-64	44%	-3.9	0/115	n=115
in October	44-53	45%	-2.1	0/97	n=97
outdoors	149-179	45%	-1.5	0/328	n=328
on turf	30-43	41%	-5.0	0/73	n=73
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

15 lean LV · 115 lean against

Read this first. 148 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 7-9.5 + outdoors	34-29	54%from 51%	+1.8	0/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 54%	-2.8	0/7	n=7
+ on turf	1-7	13%from 54%	-11.2	0/8	n=8
on the road + as an underdog	88-79	53%from 49%	-0.4	0/167	n=167
+ outdoors	70-65	52%from 53%	-0.0	0/135	n=135
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-11	52%from 52%	-0.7	0/23	n=23
+ on turf	13-17	43%from 52%	-3.6	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-17	50%from 53%	-1.2	0/34	n=34
+ in the Sunday early window	43-45	49%from 53%	-2.4	0/88	n=88
+ outdoors	33-37	47%from 49%	-2.1	0/70	n=70
+ on turf	17-20	46%from 49%	-5.0	0/37	n=37
+ in October	8-11	42%from 49%	-5.0	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 49%	-6.4	0/15	n=15
+ in October	19-20	49%from 53%	-1.4	0/39	n=39
+ outdoors	14-14	50%from 49%	+0.4	0/28	n=28
+ on turf	5-8	38%from 49%	-6.2	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 49%	-6.3	0/8	n=8
+ on turf	26-30	46%from 53%	-3.5	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-9	47%from 46%	-1.8	0/17	n=17
+ spread 7-9.5	17-23	43%from 53%	-2.6	0/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 43%	-2.3	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	14-16	47%from 43%	-0.6	0/30	n=30
+ in October	5-8	38%from 43%	-3.2	0/13	n=13
+ in the Sunday early window	6-17	26%from 43%	-8.9	0/23	n=23
+ on turf	4-12	25%from 43%	-9.9	0/16	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NE — the basics

455 graded games since 1999

at home	130-105	55%	+2.3	12/235	n=235
vs LV	5-5	50%	+2.7	1/10	n=10
as a favorite	185-143	56%	+2.5	14/328	n=328
spread 7-9.5	54-45	55%	+3.8	4/99	n=99
in the Sunday early window	125-91	58%	+3.0	12/216	n=216
in October	68-38	64%	+3.8	4/106	n=106
outdoors	232-176	57%	+2.8	20/408	n=408
on turf	154-110	58%	+3.9	15/264	n=264
at this venue	119-93	56%	+2.5	11/212	n=212
under this head coach	14-7	67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
in the last 5 seasons	43-44	49%	+1.3	21/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=455
NE has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

NE — combinations

275 lean NE · 31 lean against

Read this first. 320 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as a favorite + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 56%	+6.9	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+6.9	14/14	n=14
vs LV + as a favorite	5-2	71%from 50%	+5.1	1/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.1	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + in October	37-17	69%from 58%	+3.5	3/54	n=54
+ on turf	21-10	68%from 69%	+5.0	2/31	n=31
+ at this venue	11-6	65%from 68%	+3.0	1/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 68%	+3.6	2/11	n=11
+ outdoors	33-16	67%from 69%	+3.2	2/49	n=49
+ on turf	17-9	65%from 67%	+4.5	1/26	n=26
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 67%	+0.5	1/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 67%	+4.9	2/13	n=13
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 69%	+0.5	1/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 65%	+5.1	1/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 69%	+4.1	3/15	n=15
in October + on turf	42-21	67%from 64%	+6.0	3/63	n=63
+ at this venue	23-12	66%from 67%	+5.5	1/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 66%	+1.2	1/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 67%	+0.1	3/17	n=17
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
on turf + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 58%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
as a favorite + in October	49-25	66%from 56%	+3.3	3/74	n=74
+ outdoors	46-23	67%from 66%	+3.0	2/69	n=69
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 67%	+2.9	2/7	n=7
+ on turf	28-14	67%from 67%	+5.8	1/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-15	64%from 67%	+2.0	1/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 66%	+2.0	3/9	n=9
+ on turf	31-16	66%from 66%	+6.0	2/47	n=47
+ at this venue	19-9	68%from 66%	+5.6	1/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 66%	+0.8	2/8	n=8
+ at this venue	27-15	64%from 66%	+2.0	1/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	+1.4	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.