IND at PITPIT -2.5o/u 47.5

ST Model IND -1.3(-3.8 vs market)

Since first recorded PIT -2.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

on the road	119-98	55%	-0.1	25/217	n=217
vs PIT	6-9	40%	-3.8	3/15	n=15
as an underdog	87-80	52%	-0.9	28/167	n=167
spread 1-2.5	48-39	55%	+0.6	18/87	n=87
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in October	56-44	56%	+0.8	13/100	n=100
outdoors	109-100	52%	-0.4	22/209	n=209
on grass	78-69	53%	-0.8	14/147	n=147
at this venue	1-6	14%	-9.9	1/7	n=7
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

171 lean IND · 62 lean against

Read this first. 261 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	13-5	72%from 55%	+4.3	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 72%	+4.3	18/18	n=18
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 55%	+3.9	18/23	n=23
in October + under this head coach	9-4	69%from 56%	+3.4	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 69%	+3.4	13/13	n=13
in October + in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 56%	+3.3	13/23	n=23
in October + on grass	22-15	59%from 56%	+0.9	3/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 59%	+2.8	3/8	n=8
outdoors + under this head coach	13-9	59%from 52%	-0.9	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 59%	-0.9	22/22	n=22
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-10	58%from 53%	-1.2	14/24	n=24
on the road + in October	30-22	58%from 55%	+0.5	5/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 58%	+4.1	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 58%	+2.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.3	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	22-15	59%from 58%	+0.9	3/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 59%	+2.8	3/8	n=8
+ outdoors	24-21	53%from 58%	+0.2	3/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 53%	+2.8	3/8	n=8
+ on grass	20-15	57%from 53%	+0.8	3/35	n=35
on grass + under this head coach	8-6	57%from 53%	-1.2	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	-1.2	14/14	n=14
spread 1-2.5 + in the Sunday early window	31-24	56%from 55%	+0.0	13/55	n=55
+ under this head coach	9-4	69%from 56%	+2.4	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 69%	+2.4	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 56%	+2.7	13/16	n=16
+ in October	9-7	56%from 56%	+0.6	4/16	n=16
+ outdoors	8-6	57%from 56%	+1.1	3/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 56%	+1.9	4/7	n=7
+ on grass	2-3	40%from 56%	-0.3	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	17-15	53%from 56%	-1.4	8/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 53%	+1.4	8/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	5-3	63%from 53%	+0.4	8/8	n=8
+ on grass	9-9	50%from 53%	-2.8	4/18	n=18
+ on grass	9-10	47%from 56%	-3.3	4/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 47%	-0.6	4/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

at home	123-100	55%	+1.7	0/223	n=223
vs IND	9-6	60%	+3.8	0/15	n=15
as a favorite	142-147	49%	+0.4	0/289	n=289
spread 1-2.5	49-34	59%	+1.1	0/83	n=83
off a bye	31-26	54%	+2.4	0/57	n=57
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in October	63-35	64%	+3.8	0/98	n=98
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	117-97	55%	+1.7	0/214	n=214
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

279 lean PIT · 38 lean against

Read this first. 361 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 7.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs IND + on grass	6-0	100%from 60%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
at home + vs IND	6-1	86%from 55%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-0	100%from 86%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-0	100%from 86%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
vs IND + outdoors	6-1	86%from 60%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-0	100%from 86%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+12.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
vs IND + at this venue	6-1	86%from 60%	+9.9	0/7	n=7
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 54%	+3.9	0/11	n=11
at home + in October	34-17	67%from 55%	+5.1	0/51	n=51
+ on grass	25-11	69%from 67%	+6.2	0/36	n=36
+ at this venue	25-11	69%from 69%	+6.2	0/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 69%	+3.6	0/11	n=11
+ outdoors	34-17	67%from 67%	+5.1	0/51	n=51
+ on grass	25-11	69%from 67%	+6.2	0/36	n=36
+ at this venue	32-17	65%from 67%	+4.9	0/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 67%	+3.6	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	32-17	65%from 67%	+4.9	0/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 65%	+3.6	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 67%	+3.6	0/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.