HOU at TENHOU -3.5o/u 43.5

ST Model HOU -8.3(-4.8 vs market)

Since first recorded HOU -3.5o/u 43.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs TEN	28-19	60%	+4.5	6/47	n=47
as a favorite	72-79	48%	-0.6	27/151	n=151
spread 3.5-6.5	62-72	46%	-0.4	16/134	n=134
in a division game	74-66	53%	+1.6	18/140	n=140
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in October	41-49	46%	+0.3	12/90	n=90
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
at this venue	14-10	58%	+4.0	3/24	n=24
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

315 lean HOU · 134 lean against

Read this first. 536 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 58%	+8.5	3/5	n=5
vs TEN + in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 60%	+6.8	6/10	n=10
in October + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 46%	+6.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+6.3	12/12	n=12
vs TEN + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 60%	+6.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.4	6/6	n=6
vs TEN + spread 3.5-6.5	10-6	63%from 60%	+5.0	2/16	n=16
+ in the Sunday early window	9-5	64%from 63%	+5.3	2/14	n=14
+ outdoors	6-5	55%from 64%	+3.8	1/11	n=11
+ on grass	6-5	55%from 64%	+3.8	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 64%	+2.7	1/9	n=9
+ in a division game	10-6	63%from 63%	+5.0	2/16	n=16
+ in the Sunday early window	9-5	64%from 63%	+5.3	2/14	n=14
+ outdoors	6-6	50%from 63%	+2.9	1/12	n=12
+ on grass	6-6	50%from 63%	+2.9	1/12	n=12
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 63%	+2.7	1/9	n=9
+ outdoors	6-6	50%from 63%	+2.9	1/12	n=12
+ on grass	6-6	50%from 50%	+2.9	1/12	n=12
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 50%	+2.7	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	6-6	50%from 63%	+2.9	1/12	n=12
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 50%	+2.7	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 63%	+2.7	1/9	n=9
vs TEN + outdoors	19-12	61%from 60%	+5.3	3/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 61%	+8.5	3/5	n=5
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 61%	+4.0	3/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 60%	+8.5	3/5	n=5
+ at this venue	14-10	58%from 60%	+4.0	3/24	n=24
+ at this venue	14-10	58%from 61%	+4.0	3/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 58%	+8.5	3/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

at home	92-114	45%	-1.0	0/206	n=206
vs HOU	19-28	40%	-4.5	0/47	n=47
as an underdog	110-124	47%	-0.6	0/234	n=234
spread 3.5-6.5	71-91	44%	-0.8	0/162	n=162
in a division game	68-94	42%	-2.7	0/162	n=162
in the Sunday early window	128-168	43%	-1.5	0/296	n=296
in October	47-52	47%	-1.6	0/99	n=99
outdoors	164-200	45%	-0.9	0/364	n=364
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
at this venue	92-113	45%	-1.0	0/205	n=205
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

83 lean TEN · 361 lean against

Read this first. 506 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 47%	+1.7	0/20	n=20
vs HOU + in October	6-5	55%from 40%	-6.2	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 55%	-3.3	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 63%	-7.6	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 55%	-7.6	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-4	43%from 55%	-13.0	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 43%	-7.6	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 43%	-7.6	0/6	n=6
in a division game + in October	20-17	54%from 42%	-1.9	0/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 54%	+2.6	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	16-13	55%from 54%	-1.3	0/29	n=29
+ at this venue	10-9	53%from 55%	-2.7	0/19	n=19
+ at this venue	10-9	53%from 54%	-2.7	0/19	n=19
+ outdoors	16-15	52%from 54%	-3.1	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 52%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	10-9	53%from 52%	-2.7	0/19	n=19
+ on grass	14-13	52%from 52%	-2.2	0/27	n=27
as an underdog + at this venue	41-41	50%from 47%	+0.1	0/82	n=82
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 50%	+2.6	0/22	n=22
in October + on grass	39-39	50%from 47%	-0.2	0/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 50%	+7.2	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	21-25	46%from 50%	-1.7	0/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 46%	+8.6	0/7	n=7
at home + as an underdog	41-42	49%from 45%	+0.1	0/83	n=83
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-11	52%from 49%	+2.4	0/23	n=23
+ at this venue	41-41	50%from 49%	+0.1	0/82	n=82
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 50%	+2.6	0/22	n=22
+ in the Sunday early window	32-32	50%from 49%	+0.4	0/64	n=64
+ at this venue	32-31	51%from 50%	+0.5	0/63	n=63
+ outdoors	32-32	50%from 50%	+0.4	0/64	n=64
+ on grass	31-31	50%from 50%	+0.4	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 50%	+1.9	0/21	n=21
+ in October	4-8	33%from 50%	-1.1	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	41-42	49%from 49%	+0.1	0/83	n=83
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-11	52%from 49%	+2.4	0/23	n=23
+ at this venue	41-41	50%from 49%	+0.1	0/82	n=82
+ on grass	40-41	49%from 49%	+0.0	0/81	n=81
+ on grass	40-41	49%from 49%	+0.0	0/81	n=81
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 49%	+2.5	0/21	n=21
+ at this venue	40-41	49%from 49%	+0.0	0/81	n=81
+ spread 3.5-6.5	18-19	49%from 49%	-0.0	0/37	n=37
+ in October	4-3	57%from 49%	+3.4	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	18-18	50%from 49%	+0.1	0/36	n=36
+ at this venue	18-18	50%from 49%	+0.1	0/36	n=36
+ in a division game	5-5	50%from 49%	-4.5	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	18-19	49%from 49%	-0.0	0/37	n=37
+ in the Sunday early window	14-16	47%from 49%	-0.1	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 49%	+0.9	0/14	n=14
+ in a division game	12-14	46%from 49%	-3.1	0/26	n=26
+ in the Sunday early window	10-9	53%from 46%	-2.2	0/19	n=19
+ outdoors	12-14	46%from 46%	-3.1	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	12-14	46%from 46%	-3.1	0/26	n=26
+ at this venue	12-14	46%from 46%	-3.1	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 46%	-3.7	0/5	n=5
+ in October	8-11	42%from 49%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 42%	+9.5	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	8-10	44%from 42%	-0.1	0/18	n=18
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 42%	-0.1	0/18	n=18
+ outdoors	8-11	42%from 42%	-0.3	0/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.