DET at ARI—
ST Model DET -3.4
Since first recorded DET -8.5o/u 49.5unchanged · 41d ago · 1 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 5
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
DET — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-104 | 50% | -1.5 | 44/210 | n=210 |
| vs ARI | 9-9 | 50% | +0.6 | 2/18 | n=18 |
| in the Sunday late window | 26-29 | 47% | -1.3 | 16/55 | n=55 |
| in October | 50-48 | 51% | -0.4 | 19/98 | n=98 |
| on grass | 60-63 | 49% | -2.2 | 23/123 | n=123 |
| at this venue | 3-6 | 33% | -4.4 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach | 56-31 | 64% | +2.2 | 87/87 | n=87 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 56-31 | 64% | +2.2 | 87/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
DET — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game | n=419 |
DET — combinations
32 lean DET · 25 lean against
Read this first. 65 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in the Sunday late window + in October | 7-2 | 78%from 47% | +7.8 | 4/9 | n=9 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 29-15 | 66%from 50% | +0.7 | 44/44 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 29-15 | 66%from 66% | +0.7 | 44/44 | n=44 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 29-15 | 66%from 50% | +0.7 | 44/44 | n=44 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 56-31 | 64%from 64% | +2.2 | 87/87 | n=87 |
| in October + on grass | 15-9 | 63%from 51% | +1.5 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| in the Sunday late window + under this head coach | 10-6 | 63%from 47% | +1.7 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-6 | 63%from 63% | +1.7 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons | 10-6 | 63%from 47% | +1.7 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 14-9 | 61%from 49% | -0.2 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 61% | -0.2 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 49% | -0.2 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| on the road + in October | 31-20 | 61%from 50% | +2.1 | 11/51 | n=51 |
| + on grass | 15-9 | 63%from 61% | +1.5 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + under this head coach | 6-5 | 55%from 61% | -1.5 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 55% | -1.5 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 61% | -1.5 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| in October + under this head coach | 10-9 | 53%from 51% | -1.6 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-9 | 53%from 53% | -1.6 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 10-9 | 53%from 51% | -1.6 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| on the road + in the Sunday late window | 21-22 | 49%from 50% | -0.2 | 13/43 | n=43 |
| + in October | 7-1 | 88%from 49% | +11.4 | 4/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 9-4 | 69%from 49% | +3.5 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-4 | 69%from 69% | +3.5 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-4 | 69%from 49% | +3.5 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + on grass | 15-17 | 47%from 49% | -1.1 | 7/32 | n=32 |
| + under this head coach | 5-2 | 71%from 47% | +2.1 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 47% | +2.1 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + at this venue | 3-6 | 33%from 47% | -4.4 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| + at this venue | 3-6 | 33%from 49% | -4.4 | 1/9 | n=9 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.